TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13038371
Played Aug 29Finished
Olena Bondareva
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210711511911––
Oleksandra Ivchenko
Away
1.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:57 and never touched — 82.9% is still 82.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandra Ivchenko to win
82.9%
82.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOlena Bondareva above · Oleksandra Ivchenko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 76 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandra Ivchenko at 82.9%
76 points played in total.
H2H Olena Bondareva 10–45 Oleksandra Ivchenko Olena Bondareva has won 10 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Ivchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-45 in 55
Ivchenko
Correct
gap of 35 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bondareva 1419 vs Ivchenko 1663
Ivchenko
Correct
both rated, 244 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondareva 40% vs Ivchenko 60%
Ivchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondareva 20% vs Ivchenko 70%
Ivchenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondareva -2 · Ivchenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Ivchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivchenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondareva 4.00 / Ivchenko 1.22
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Ivchenko)+6.3pp
Setka Cup Women · #13038371
Bondareva4.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Ivchenko1.22
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBondareva1wins
AwayIvchenko9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderIvchenko leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBondareva33.3%1 of 3
AwayIvchenko100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bondareva3Ivchenko7n = 10Ivchenko took 7 of 10
S2Bondareva3Ivchenko7n = 10Ivchenko took 7 of 10
S3Bondareva4Ivchenko6n = 10Ivchenko took 6 of 10
S4Bondareva3Ivchenko3n = 6split evenly
S5Bondareva0Ivchenko4n = 4Ivchenko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBondarevaIvchenkoB − IBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.741.1−6.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarevaIvchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 292 vs 353 / 56739.4%62.3%115 / 292 vs 353 / 567Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.339.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvchenkoBondareva 4.00/Ivchenko 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.9%
Ivchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ivchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 10 · 13:35O. Bondareva—71181142O. Ivchenko—116117113
WJun 28 · 17:35O. Bondareva—11811113O. Ivchenko—811581
LJun 26 · 17:35O. Bondareva—118511112O. Ivchenko—811119133
LJun 20 · 13:35O. Bondareva—61111632O. Ivchenko—116811113
LJun 14 · 19:05O. Bondareva—57100O. Ivchenko—1111123
LJun 7 · 16:05O. Bondareva—13117472O. Ivchenko—1181111113
LMay 30 · 15:35O. Bondareva—1131381O. Ivchenko—131111113
LMay 15 · 16:05O. Bondareva—87100O. Ivchenko—1111123
LMay 9 · 09:55O. Bondareva—101190O. Ivchenko—1213113
LApr 26 · 15:05O. Bondareva—12791O. Ivchenko—141172
O. Bondareva10
LSep 6 · 19:05O. Ivchenko1.2231113113O. Bondareva4.001171191LSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100LSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070WSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123LAug 29 · 18:35O. Bondareva3.251166101K. Bondarenko1.3391111102LAug 29 · 12:35O. Bondareva4.00111144152M. Gordeets1.22881111173LAug 20 · 19:05O. Bondareva3.50881231A. Gorchakova1.28111110113WAug 20 · 17:05K. Tymchenko3.509580O. Bondareva1.281111113LAug 20 · 16:05O. Bondareva3.259790V. Shevchuk1.331111113WAug 20 · 15:05A. Lapa1.3311711292O. Bondareva3.25911611113
O. Ivchenko10
WSep 6 · 19:05O. Ivchenko1.2231113113O. Bondareva4.001171191LSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113LSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113LSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113LSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151LSep 5 · 15:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811711113O. Ivchenko1.3311211752WSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641WSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113LAug 30 · 19:05A. Gorchakova2.75812515113O. Ivchenko1.401110111372
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