TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13038393
Played Aug 29Finished
Olena Bondareva
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 2
Set by set
1196116111010––
Kateryna Bondarenko
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:56 and never touched — 73.7% is still 73.7%
Graded at full timeKateryna Bondarenko to win
73.7%
73.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOlena Bondareva above · Kateryna Bondarenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-10
Point 74 set 4, 10-10 — our read held Kateryna Bondarenko at 73.7%
74 points played in total.
H2H Olena Bondareva 2–1 Kateryna Bondarenko Kateryna Bondarenko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:56What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Bondarenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bondareva 1404 vs Bondarenko 1657
Bondarenko
Correct
both rated, 253 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondareva 20% vs Bondarenko 40%
Bondarenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondareva 20% vs Bondarenko 50%
Bondarenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondareva -3 · Bondarenko -2
Bondareva
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Bondarenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bondarenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondareva 3.25 / Bondarenko 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Bondarenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup Women · #13038393
Bondareva3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Bondarenko1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBondareva2wins
AwayBondarenko1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderBondareva leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bondareva2Bondarenko1n = 3Bondareva took 2 of 3
S2Bondareva1Bondarenko2n = 3Bondarenko took 2 of 3
S3Bondareva3Bondarenko0n = 3Bondareva took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBondarevaBondarenkoBondareva − BondarenkoBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match43.338.3+5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarevaBondarenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 290 vs 81 / 11639.3%69.8%114 / 290 vs 81 / 116Avg sets wonper match1.82.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.441.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarenkoBondareva 3.25/Bondarenko 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.7%
Bondarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–2
Bondarenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 2 · 12:35O. Bondareva—118119113K. Bondarenko—81171172
LJun 20 · 19:05O. Bondareva—125111162K. Bondarenko—141164113
WMay 15 · 13:35O. Bondareva—1111133K. Bondarenko—77110
O. Bondareva10
LSep 6 · 19:05O. Ivchenko1.2231113113O. Bondareva4.001171191LSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100LSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070WSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123LAug 29 · 14:05O. Bondareva4.00127591O. Ivchenko1.22101111113LAug 29 · 12:35O. Bondareva4.00111144152M. Gordeets1.22881111173LAug 20 · 19:05O. Bondareva3.50881231A. Gorchakova1.28111110113WAug 20 · 17:05K. Tymchenko3.509580O. Bondareva1.281111113LAug 20 · 16:05O. Bondareva3.259790V. Shevchuk1.331111113WAug 20 · 15:05A. Lapa1.3311711292O. Bondareva3.25911611113
K. Bondarenko10
WSep 4 · 18:35K. Bondarenko1.401771311123A. Lapa2.751511156102WSep 4 · 17:05K. Bondarenko1.2211116593K. Tymchenko4.0099111162LSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.6171131192A. Volgina2.20113117113LSep 4 · 14:05K. Bondarenko1.8311411422M. Gordeets1.83911711113LSep 4 · 12:35K. Bondarenko1.4011911972A. Gorchakova2.75911711113LAug 29 · 17:35K. Bondarenko1.44711581A. Volgina2.6311611113LAug 29 · 16:35K. Bondarenko1.73116481M. Gordeets2.0091111113WAug 29 · 15:05K. Bondarenko1.081111912113A. Hordynska-Sheiko7.0059111462WAug 29 · 13:05K. Bondarenko1.4011117113O. Ivchenko2.75781131LAug 16 · 18:35A. Lapa3.2511116113K. Bondarenko1.33591151
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.