TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13038485
Played Aug 29Finished
Kateryna Bondarenko
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711116511811––
Anastasiia Volgina
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:27 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeKateryna Bondarenko to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKateryna Bondarenko above · Anastasiia Volgina below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Kateryna Bondarenko at 65.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Kateryna Bondarenko 11–6 Anastasiia Volgina Anastasiia Volgina has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:27What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Bondarenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-6 in 17
Bondarenko
Wrong
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bondarenko 1685 vs Volgina 1627
Bondarenko
Wrong
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondarenko 60% vs Volgina 80%
Volgina
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondarenko 60% vs Volgina 80%
Volgina
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondarenko -1 · Volgina +4
Volgina
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Bondarenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volgina form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondarenko 1.44 / Volgina 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Bondarenko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup Women · #13038485
Bondarenko1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Volgina2.63
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBondarenko6wins
AwayVolgina4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBondarenko leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBondarenko75%3 of 4
AwayVolgina50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bondarenko4Volgina6n = 10Volgina took 6 of 10
S2Bondarenko5Volgina5n = 10split evenly
S3Bondarenko7Volgina3n = 10Bondarenko took 7 of 10
S4Bondarenko3Volgina6n = 9Volgina took 6 of 9
S5Bondarenko4Volgina1n = 5Bondarenko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBondarenkoVolginaB − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.540.5+2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarenkoVolginaBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 115 vs 364 / 64870.4%56.2%81 / 115 vs 364 / 648Avg sets wonper match2.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match41.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarenkoBondarenko 1.44/Volgina 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Bondarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Volgina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 7 · 13:05K. Bondarenko—111173113A. Volgina—79111172
LAug 1 · 16:35K. Bondarenko—1111581A. Volgina—13311113
WJul 31 · 18:05K. Bondarenko—1112123A. Volgina—510100
LJul 26 · 13:35K. Bondarenko—1161241A. Volgina—61114113
WJul 18 · 18:05K. Bondarenko—911125113A. Volgina—115101122
WJul 17 · 15:35K. Bondarenko—111011123A. Volgina—7122101
LJul 5 · 14:05K. Bondarenko—681391A. Volgina—111111113
WJun 20 · 18:05K. Bondarenko—9111114113A. Volgina—111381252
WJun 6 · 17:05K. Bondarenko—8111110113A. Volgina—11891262
LJun 5 · 18:05K. Bondarenko—68111182A. Volgina—111176113
K. Bondarenko10
WSep 4 · 18:35K. Bondarenko1.401771311123A. Lapa2.751511156102WSep 4 · 17:05K. Bondarenko1.2211116593K. Tymchenko4.0099111162LSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.6171131192A. Volgina2.20113117113LSep 4 · 14:05K. Bondarenko1.8311411422M. Gordeets1.83911711113LSep 4 · 12:35K. Bondarenko1.4011911972A. Gorchakova2.75911711113WAug 29 · 18:35O. Bondareva3.251166101K. Bondarenko1.3391111102LAug 29 · 16:35K. Bondarenko1.73116481M. Gordeets2.0091111113WAug 29 · 15:05K. Bondarenko1.081111912113A. Hordynska-Sheiko7.0059111462WAug 29 · 13:05K. Bondarenko1.4011117113O. Ivchenko2.75781131LAug 16 · 18:35A. Lapa3.2511116113K. Bondarenko1.33591151
A. Volgina10
WSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861WSep 5 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.7512971A. Volgina1.251411112LSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113LSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113WSep 4 · 17:35A. Lapa2.201071151A. Volgina1.6112116113WSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.6171131192A. Volgina2.20113117113LSep 4 · 14:35A. Volgina1.36111189102A. Gorchakova3.00961111123LSep 4 · 13:35K. Tymchenko2.631110611133A. Volgina1.44512116112
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