TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13038373
Played Aug 29Finished
Kateryna Bondarenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119611411811––
Margarita Gordeets
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKateryna Bondarenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKateryna Bondarenko above · Margarita Gordeets below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 71 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Kateryna Bondarenko at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Kateryna Bondarenko 6–10 Margarita Gordeets Kateryna Bondarenko has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:56What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Bondarenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-10 in 16
Gordeets
Correct
gap of 4 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bondarenko 1701 vs Gordeets 1641
Bondarenko
Wrong
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondarenko 60% vs Gordeets 40%
Bondarenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondarenko 70% vs Gordeets 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondarenko +2 · Gordeets -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bondarenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondarenko 1.73 / Gordeets 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bondarenko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup Women · #13038373
Bondarenko1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Gordeets2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBondarenko4wins
AwayGordeets6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderGordeets leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBondarenko40%2 of 5
AwayGordeets60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bondarenko5Gordeets5n = 10split evenly
S2Bondarenko5Gordeets5n = 10split evenly
S3Bondarenko4Gordeets6n = 10Gordeets took 6 of 10
S4Bondarenko4Gordeets6n = 10Gordeets took 6 of 10
S5Bondarenko3Gordeets3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBondarenkoGordeetsB − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.546.0−4.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarenkoGordeetsBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 114 vs 361 / 62871.1%57.5%81 / 114 vs 361 / 628Avg sets wonper match2.52.2per matchAvg pointsper match41.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarenkoBondarenko 1.73/Gordeets 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Bondarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gordeets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 1 · 13:05K. Bondarenko—11144113M. Gordeets—6121191
LJul 31 · 19:05K. Bondarenko—11111171M. Gordeets—91313113
LJul 18 · 16:05K. Bondarenko—81111962M. Gordeets—114811113
LJul 17 · 14:05K. Bondarenko—511671M. Gordeets—11611113
LJul 5 · 12:35K. Bondarenko—12661192M. Gordeets—1011119113
LJun 20 · 16:35K. Bondarenko—271161M. Gordeets—11119113
WJun 12 · 14:05K. Bondarenko—911187113M. Gordeets—118161172
WJun 6 · 14:05K. Bondarenko—711117113M. Gordeets—11891192
LMay 17 · 14:35K. Bondarenko—11661162M. Gordeets—911119113
WMay 15 · 14:35K. Bondarenko—1110511113M. Gordeets—61211892
K. Bondarenko10
WSep 4 · 18:35K. Bondarenko1.401771311123A. Lapa2.751511156102WSep 4 · 17:05K. Bondarenko1.2211116593K. Tymchenko4.0099111162LSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.6171131192A. Volgina2.20113117113LSep 4 · 14:05K. Bondarenko1.8311411422M. Gordeets1.83911711113LSep 4 · 12:35K. Bondarenko1.4011911972A. Gorchakova2.75911711113WAug 29 · 18:35O. Bondareva3.251166101K. Bondarenko1.3391111102LAug 29 · 17:35K. Bondarenko1.44711581A. Volgina2.6311611113WAug 29 · 15:05K. Bondarenko1.081111912113A. Hordynska-Sheiko7.0059111462WAug 29 · 13:05K. Bondarenko1.4011117113O. Ivchenko2.75781131LAug 16 · 18:35A. Lapa3.2511116113K. Bondarenko1.33591151
M. Gordeets10
LSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102WSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100WSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113WSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193WSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113WSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460WSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113LSep 5 · 14:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.00971111113M. Gordeets1.2211119892WSep 5 · 13:05V. Shevchuk2.001681151M. Gordeets1.7318115113WSep 4 · 14:05K. Bondarenko1.8311411422M. Gordeets1.83911711113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.