TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13084831
Played Sep 6Finished
Margarita Gordeets
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161171110––––
Olena Bondareva
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:08 and never touched — 81.0% is still 81.0%
Graded at full timeMargarita Gordeets to win
81.0%
81.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMargarita Gordeets above · Olena Bondareva below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-10
Point 56 set 3, 11-10 — our read held Margarita Gordeets at 81.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Margarita Gordeets 40–15 Olena Bondareva Olena Bondareva has won 15 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:08What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Gordeets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-15 in 55
Gordeets
Correct
gap of 25 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gordeets 1686 vs Bondareva 1429
Gordeets
Correct
both rated, 258 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gordeets 100% vs Bondareva 20%
Gordeets
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gordeets 90% vs Bondareva 30%
Gordeets
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gordeets +5 · Bondareva -1
Gordeets
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Gordeets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gordeets form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGordeets 1.22 / Bondareva 4.00
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Gordeets)+4.4pp
Setka Cup Women · #13084831
Gordeets1.22
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Bondareva4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGordeets8wins
AwayBondareva2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGordeets leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGordeets87.5%7 of 8
AwayBondarevan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gordeets8Bondareva2n = 10Gordeets took 8 of 10
S2Gordeets7Bondareva3n = 10Gordeets took 7 of 10
S3Gordeets10Bondareva0n = 10Gordeets took 10 of 10
S4Gordeets2Bondareva2n = 4split evenly
S5Gordeets1Bondareva2n = 3Bondareva took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGordeetsBondarevaG − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.625.4+13.2per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGordeetsBondarevaBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 621 vs 114 / 29258.1%39%361 / 621 vs 114 / 292Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.235.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GordeetsGordeets 1.22/Bondareva 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81%
Gordeets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gordeets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 12:35M. Gordeets—881111173O. Bondareva—111144152
WAug 20 · 13:35M. Gordeets—11711113O. Bondareva—111561
WAug 14 · 13:35M. Gordeets—1111113O. Bondareva—1260
WAug 2 · 14:35M. Gordeets—1111113O. Bondareva—6430
WJul 10 · 19:05M. Gordeets—1111113O. Bondareva—5660
WJun 28 · 13:05M. Gordeets—1111113O. Bondareva—9730
LJun 26 · 13:05M. Gordeets—1110114102O. Bondareva—712611123
WJun 20 · 15:05M. Gordeets—1111113O. Bondareva—5840
LJun 14 · 13:35M. Gordeets—91111972O. Bondareva—117811113
WJun 7 · 13:35M. Gordeets—1111113O. Bondareva—2670
M. Gordeets10
LSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102WSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113WSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193WSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113WSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460WSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113LSep 5 · 14:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.00971111113M. Gordeets1.2211119892WSep 5 · 13:05V. Shevchuk2.001681151M. Gordeets1.7318115113WSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113WSep 4 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.331211133A. Gorchakova3.25108110
O. Bondareva10
LSep 6 · 19:05O. Ivchenko1.2231113113O. Bondareva4.001171191LSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070WSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123LAug 29 · 18:35O. Bondareva3.251166101K. Bondarenko1.3391111102LAug 29 · 14:05O. Bondareva4.00127591O. Ivchenko1.22101111113LAug 29 · 12:35O. Bondareva4.00111144152M. Gordeets1.22881111173LAug 20 · 19:05O. Bondareva3.50881231A. Gorchakova1.28111110113WAug 20 · 17:05K. Tymchenko3.509580O. Bondareva1.281111113LAug 20 · 16:05O. Bondareva3.259790V. Shevchuk1.331111113WAug 20 · 15:05A. Lapa1.3311711292O. Bondareva3.25911611113
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