TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13084823
Played Sep 6Finished
Anna Gorchakova
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11651111371169
Margarita Gordeets
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:58 and never touched — 81.3% is still 81.3%
Graded at full timeMargarita Gordeets to win
81.3%
81.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnna Gorchakova above · Margarita Gordeets below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 6-9
Point 80 set 5, 6-9 — our read held Margarita Gordeets at 81.3%
80 points played in total.
H2H Anna Gorchakova 10–55 Margarita Gordeets Anna Gorchakova has won 10 of their 65 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Gordeets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-55 in 65
Gordeets
Correct
gap of 45 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gorchakova 1457 vs Gordeets 1684
Gordeets
Correct
both rated, 227 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gorchakova 0% vs Gordeets 80%
Gordeets
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gorchakova 40% vs Gordeets 80%
Gordeets
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gorchakova -5 · Gordeets +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Gordeets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gorchakova form (0%) is below what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGorchakova 3.75 / Gordeets 1.25
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Gordeets)+6.3pp
Setka Cup Women · #13084823
Gorchakova3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Gordeets1.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGorchakova3wins
AwayGordeets7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderGordeets leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGorchakova66.7%2 of 3
AwayGordeets85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gorchakova3Gordeets7n = 10Gordeets took 7 of 10
S2Gorchakova3Gordeets7n = 10Gordeets took 7 of 10
S3Gorchakova4Gordeets6n = 10Gordeets took 6 of 10
S4Gorchakova2Gordeets2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricGorchakovaGordeetsGorchakova − GordeetsBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.634.9−4.3per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGorchakovaGordeetsBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 419 vs 359 / 62145.8%57.8%192 / 419 vs 359 / 621Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GordeetsGorchakova 3.75/Gordeets 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.3%
Gordeets · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gordeets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 18:05A. Gorchakova—9460M. Gordeets—1111113
LSep 4 · 18:05A. Gorchakova—108110M. Gordeets—1211133
LAug 23 · 15:35A. Gorchakova—11118322M. Gordeets—951111113
LAug 22 · 16:35A. Gorchakova—9870M. Gordeets—1111113
WAug 20 · 14:35A. Gorchakova—141311113M. Gordeets—1611851
LAug 14 · 15:35A. Gorchakova—5870M. Gordeets—1111113
LJul 25 · 15:05A. Gorchakova—871121M. Gordeets—11111113
WJul 24 · 15:35A. Gorchakova—1311113M. Gordeets—11460
WJul 18 · 17:05A. Gorchakova—11711133M. Gordeets—9118111
LJul 17 · 18:05A. Gorchakova—9970M. Gordeets—1111113
A. Gorchakova10
WSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113WSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070WSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861LSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460LSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk1.2511711113A. Gorchakova3.75611651LSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641LSep 5 · 12:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811611113A. Gorchakova1.3311711992WSep 4 · 19:05K. Tymchenko3.256960A. Gorchakova1.331111113
M. Gordeets10
LSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102WSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100WSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113WSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113WSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460WSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113LSep 5 · 14:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.00971111113M. Gordeets1.2211119892WSep 5 · 13:05V. Shevchuk2.001681151M. Gordeets1.7318115113WSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113WSep 4 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.331211133A. Gorchakova3.25108110
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