TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13079907
Played Sep 5Finished
Anastasiia Volgina
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911611––––
Margarita Gordeets
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnastasiia Volgina to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnastasiia Volgina above · Margarita Gordeets below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 55 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Anastasiia Volgina at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Anastasiia Volgina 82–76 Margarita Gordeets Margarita Gordeets has won 76 of their 158 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:09What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Volgina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
82-76 in 158
Volgina
Wrong
gap of 6 in 158, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volgina 1629 vs Gordeets 1684
Gordeets
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volgina 60% vs Gordeets 80%
Gordeets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volgina 50% vs Gordeets 70%
Gordeets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volgina +1 · Gordeets -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Volgina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gordeets form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolgina 1.73 / Gordeets 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gordeets)-0.3pp
Setka Cup Women · #13079907
Volgina1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Gordeets2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolgina4wins
AwayGordeets6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGordeets leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolgina80%4 of 5
AwayGordeets100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volgina5Gordeets5n = 10split evenly
S2Volgina5Gordeets5n = 10split evenly
S3Volgina4Gordeets6n = 10Gordeets took 6 of 10
S4Volgina2Gordeets2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolginaGordeetsV − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.536.6−3.1per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolginaGordeetsBasisWin rate · lifetime365 / 644 vs 359 / 62156.7%57.8%365 / 644 vs 359 / 621Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolginaVolgina 1.73/Gordeets 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Volgina · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gordeets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina—7960M. Gordeets—1111113
LSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina—61080M. Gordeets—1112113
WAug 29 · 14:35A. Volgina—121163M. Gordeets—10740
LAug 23 · 14:35A. Volgina—816120M. Gordeets—1118143
WAug 22 · 14:35A. Volgina—11115113M. Gordeets—991161
WAug 15 · 14:35A. Volgina—11115133M. Gordeets—9811111
LAug 14 · 19:35A. Volgina—10490M. Gordeets—1211113
LAug 1 · 18:05A. Volgina—61511572M. Gordeets—1113811113
LJul 31 · 16:05A. Volgina—11711892M. Gordeets—911611113
WJul 25 · 16:05A. Volgina—1111113M. Gordeets—8890
A. Volgina10
WSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861WSep 5 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.7512971A. Volgina1.251411112WSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113LSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113WSep 4 · 17:35A. Lapa2.201071151A. Volgina1.6112116113WSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.6171131192A. Volgina2.20113117113LSep 4 · 14:35A. Volgina1.36111189102A. Gorchakova3.00961111123LSep 4 · 13:35K. Tymchenko2.631110611133A. Volgina1.44512116112LAug 30 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.00121114113A. Volgina1.731441281
M. Gordeets10
LSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102WSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100WSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113WSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193WSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113WSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460LSep 5 · 14:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.00971111113M. Gordeets1.2211119892WSep 5 · 13:05V. Shevchuk2.001681151M. Gordeets1.7318115113WSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113WSep 4 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.331211133A. Gorchakova3.25108110
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