TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13074026
Played Sep 4Finished
Anastasiia Volgina
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191168119111012
Anna Gorchakova
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:08 and never touched — 72.8% is still 72.8%
Graded at full timeAnastasiia Volgina to win
72.8%
72.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnastasiia Volgina above · Anna Gorchakova below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 98 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Anastasiia Volgina at 72.8%
98 points played in total.
H2H Anastasiia Volgina 40–21 Anna Gorchakova Anna Gorchakova has won 21 of their 61 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:08What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Volgina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-21 in 61
Volgina
Wrong
gap of 19 in 61, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volgina 1671 vs Gorchakova 1499
Volgina
Wrong
both rated, 172 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volgina 60% vs Gorchakova 80%
Gorchakova
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volgina 80% vs Gorchakova 40%
Volgina
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volgina -2 · Gorchakova +3
Gorchakova
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Volgina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gorchakova form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolgina 1.36 / Gorchakova 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Volgina)+4.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #13074026
Volgina1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Gorchakova3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolgina9wins
AwayGorchakova1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVolgina leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolgina100%7 of 7
AwayGorchakova33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volgina7Gorchakova3n = 10Volgina took 7 of 10
S2Volgina8Gorchakova2n = 10Volgina took 8 of 10
S3Volgina7Gorchakova3n = 10Volgina took 7 of 10
S4Volgina4Gorchakova2n = 6Volgina took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolginaGorchakovaV − GBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.532.2+7.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolginaGorchakovaBasisWin rate · lifetime365 / 643 vs 189 / 41056.8%46.1%365 / 643 vs 189 / 410Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.235.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolginaVolgina 1.36/Gorchakova 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.8%
Volgina · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gorchakova won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 12:35A. Volgina—11117123A. Gorchakova—7711101
WAug 22 · 17:35A. Volgina—1113113A. Gorchakova—91130
LAug 16 · 18:05A. Volgina—991181A. Gorchakova—11119113
WAug 14 · 14:05A. Volgina—1111113A. Gorchakova—6790
WAug 7 · 14:05A. Volgina—121111113A. Gorchakova—148571
WJul 26 · 14:35A. Volgina—1112113A. Gorchakova—71080
WJul 25 · 13:05A. Volgina—1111113A. Gorchakova—9890
WJul 24 · 12:35A. Volgina—11411113A. Gorchakova—611561
WJul 18 · 12:35A. Volgina—1211411113A. Gorchakova—14311482
WJul 17 · 14:35A. Volgina—1111711113A. Gorchakova—86111392
A. Volgina10
WSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861WSep 5 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.7512971A. Volgina1.251411112LSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113LSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113WSep 4 · 17:35A. Lapa2.201071151A. Volgina1.6112116113WSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.6171131192A. Volgina2.20113117113LSep 4 · 13:35K. Tymchenko2.631110611133A. Volgina1.44512116112LAug 30 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.00121114113A. Volgina1.731441281
A. Gorchakova10
WSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113WSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070WSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193LSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861LSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460LSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk1.2511711113A. Gorchakova3.75611651LSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641LSep 5 · 12:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811611113A. Gorchakova1.3311711992
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