TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13043057
Played Aug 30Finished
Viktoria Shevchuk
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12141141412118––
Anastasiia Volgina
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnastasiia Volgina to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingViktoria Shevchuk above · Anastasiia Volgina below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 86 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Anastasiia Volgina at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Viktoria Shevchuk 18–22 Anastasiia Volgina Viktoria Shevchuk has won 18 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:26What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Volgina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-22 in 40
Volgina
Wrong
gap of 4 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shevchuk 1564 vs Volgina 1719
Volgina
Wrong
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shevchuk 60% vs Volgina 100%
Volgina
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shevchuk 40% vs Volgina 100%
Volgina
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shevchuk +1 · Volgina +5
Volgina
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Volgina) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volgina form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShevchuk 2.00 / Volgina 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Volgina)+0.8pp
Setka Cup Women · #13043057
Shevchuk2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Volgina1.73
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShevchuk4wins
AwayVolgina6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVolgina leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShevchuk50%2 of 4
AwayVolgina66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shevchuk4Volgina6n = 10Volgina took 6 of 10
S2Shevchuk5Volgina5n = 10split evenly
S3Shevchuk3Volgina7n = 10Volgina took 7 of 10
S4Shevchuk2Volgina6n = 8Volgina took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricShevchukVolginaS − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.639.9−4.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShevchukVolginaBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 264 vs 367 / 64857.2%56.6%151 / 264 vs 367 / 648Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolginaShevchuk 2.00/Volgina 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Volgina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Shevchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 19:05V. Shevchuk—4780A. Volgina—1111113
LAug 22 · 19:35V. Shevchuk—1011841A. Volgina—12911113
LAug 15 · 19:35V. Shevchuk—1214491A. Volgina—101611113
WAug 14 · 18:05V. Shevchuk—811119113A. Volgina—11871162
WAug 8 · 12:35V. Shevchuk—111176113A. Volgina—76111192
LAug 7 · 19:35V. Shevchuk—11980A. Volgina—1311113
WAug 1 · 14:35V. Shevchuk—11117103A. Volgina—781161
LJul 26 · 19:35V. Shevchuk—112571A. Volgina—71111113
WJul 25 · 19:35V. Shevchuk—71112113A. Volgina—1171081
LJul 24 · 18:05V. Shevchuk—7111261A. Volgina—111310113
V. Shevchuk10
WSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102LSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.50451131V. Shevchuk1.5011117113LSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123WSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113WSep 5 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko5.50291171V. Shevchuk1.1311117113WSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151WSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk1.2511711113A. Gorchakova3.75611651LSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 5 · 13:05V. Shevchuk2.001681151M. Gordeets1.7318115113
A. Volgina10
WSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861WSep 5 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.7512971A. Volgina1.251411112LSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113LSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113WSep 4 · 17:35A. Lapa2.201071151A. Volgina1.6112116113WSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.6171131192A. Volgina2.20113117113LSep 4 · 14:35A. Volgina1.36111189102A. Gorchakova3.00961111123LSep 4 · 13:35K. Tymchenko2.631110611133A. Volgina1.44512116112
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