TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13079924
Played Sep 5Finished
Anastasiia Volgina
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1113811118119911
Oleksandra Ivchenko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:10 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandra Ivchenko to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnastasiia Volgina above · Oleksandra Ivchenko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 102 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandra Ivchenko at 55.8%
102 points played in total.
H2H Anastasiia Volgina 71–81 Oleksandra Ivchenko Anastasiia Volgina has won 71 of their 152 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:10What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Ivchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
71-81 in 152
Ivchenko
Correct
gap of 10 in 152, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volgina 1629 vs Ivchenko 1572
Volgina
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volgina 40% vs Ivchenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volgina 60% vs Ivchenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volgina -1 · Ivchenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Ivchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivchenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolgina 2.10 / Ivchenko 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Ivchenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #13079924
Volgina2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Ivchenko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolgina4wins
AwayIvchenko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderIvchenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolgina66.7%2 of 3
AwayIvchenko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volgina3Ivchenko7n = 10Ivchenko took 7 of 10
S2Volgina5Ivchenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Volgina5Ivchenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Volgina3Ivchenko4n = 7Ivchenko took 4 of 7
S5Volgina2Ivchenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolginaIvchenkoV − IBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.640.6−1.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolginaIvchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime365 / 644 vs 351 / 56656.7%62%365 / 644 vs 351 / 566Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvchenkoVolgina 2.10/Ivchenko 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Ivchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ivchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina—118111192O. Ivchenko—131189113
WAug 30 · 18:05A. Volgina—11126113O. Ivchenko—8101151
WAug 29 · 19:35A. Volgina—1112113O. Ivchenko—91050
WAug 23 · 18:05A. Volgina—711118113O. Ivchenko—11991182
LAug 22 · 13:35A. Volgina—79110O. Ivchenko—1111133
LAug 16 · 19:35A. Volgina—67100O. Ivchenko—1111123
WAug 15 · 13:35A. Volgina—810111183O. Ivchenko—11124862
LAug 7 · 18:05A. Volgina—111165122O. Ivchenko—961111143
LAug 1 · 19:05A. Volgina—8119121O. Ivchenko—11511143
LJul 31 · 19:35A. Volgina—81011121O. Ivchenko—11129143
A. Volgina10
WSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861WSep 5 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.7512971A. Volgina1.251411112LSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113WSep 4 · 17:35A. Lapa2.201071151A. Volgina1.6112116113WSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.6171131192A. Volgina2.20113117113LSep 4 · 14:35A. Volgina1.36111189102A. Gorchakova3.00961111123LSep 4 · 13:35K. Tymchenko2.631110611133A. Volgina1.44512116112LAug 30 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.00121114113A. Volgina1.731441281
O. Ivchenko10
WSep 6 · 19:05O. Ivchenko1.2231113113O. Bondareva4.001171191LSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113LSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113LSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113LSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151LSep 5 · 15:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811711113O. Ivchenko1.3311211752WSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641LAug 30 · 19:05A. Gorchakova2.75812515113O. Ivchenko1.401110111372LAug 30 · 18:05A. Volgina2.1011126113O. Ivchenko1.678101151
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