TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13079904
Played Sep 5Finished
Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811112711117115
Oleksandra Ivchenko
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:09 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandra Ivchenko to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko above · Oleksandra Ivchenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 84 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Oleksandra Ivchenko at 67.5%
84 points played in total.
H2H Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko 38–72 Oleksandra Ivchenko Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko has won 38 of their 110 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Ivchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
38-72 in 110
Ivchenko
Wrong
gap of 34 in 110, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hordynska-Sheiko 1373 vs Ivchenko 1631
Ivchenko
Wrong
both rated, 258 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hordynska-Sheiko 40% vs Ivchenko 60%
Ivchenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hordynska-Sheiko 30% vs Ivchenko 60%
Ivchenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hordynska-Sheiko +2 · Ivchenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Ivchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivchenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHordynska-Sheiko 3.25 / Ivchenko 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Ivchenko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup Women · #13079904
Hordynska-Sheiko3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Ivchenko1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHordynska-Sheiko4wins
AwayIvchenko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderIvchenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHordynska-Sheikon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayIvchenko66.7%6 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hordynska-Sheiko1Ivchenko9n = 10Ivchenko took 9 of 10
S2Hordynska-Sheiko3Ivchenko7n = 10Ivchenko took 7 of 10
S3Hordynska-Sheiko6Ivchenko4n = 10Hordynska-Sheiko took 6 of 10
S4Hordynska-Sheiko6Ivchenko1n = 7Hordynska-Sheiko took 6 of 7
S5Hordynska-Sheiko1Ivchenko2n = 3Ivchenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHordynska-SheikoIvchenkoH − IBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match36.540.5−4.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHordynska-SheikoIvchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 473 vs 352 / 56633%62.2%156 / 473 vs 352 / 566Avg sets wonper match1.62.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.239.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvchenkoHordynska-Sheiko 3.25/Ivchenko 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.1%
Ivchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hordynska-Sheiko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 16:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko—69131192O. Ivchenko—1111117113
LAug 22 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko—141161362O. Ivchenko—1671111113
LAug 15 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko—612100O. Ivchenko—1114123
LAug 1 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko—6660O. Ivchenko—1111113
WJul 19 · 12:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko—11512133O. Ivchenko—81110111
LJul 11 · 12:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko—69110O. Ivchenko—1111133
LJul 4 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko—751141O. Ivchenko—11119113
WJun 28 · 15:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko—61211113O. Ivchenko—1110561
WJun 27 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko—771112113O. Ivchenko—111181062
WJun 20 · 15:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko—61111113O. Ivchenko—119671
A. Hordynska-Sheiko10
LSep 5 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko5.50291171V. Shevchuk1.1311117113LSep 5 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.7512971A. Volgina1.251411112WSep 5 · 14:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.00971111113M. Gordeets1.2211119892WSep 5 · 12:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811611113A. Gorchakova1.3311711992LAug 29 · 19:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.757770M. Gordeets1.25111193LAug 29 · 16:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.2569131192O. Ivchenko1.331111117113LAug 29 · 15:05K. Bondarenko1.081111912113A. Hordynska-Sheiko7.0059111462LAug 29 · 13:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.4012911872A. Volgina1.301011911113WAug 22 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.40113119113A. Gorchakova1.3081141192LAug 22 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25141161362O. Ivchenko1.331671111113
O. Ivchenko10
WSep 6 · 19:05O. Ivchenko1.2231113113O. Bondareva4.001171191LSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113LSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113LSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113LSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151WSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641WSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113WAug 29 · 16:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.2569131192O. Ivchenko1.331111117113WAug 22 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25141161362O. Ivchenko1.331671111113
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