TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12471551
Played Aug 22Finished
Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118311114911119
Anna Gorchakova
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:26 and never touched — 76.3% is still 76.3%
Graded at full timeAnna Gorchakova to win
76.3%
76.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko above · Anna Gorchakova below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 88 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Anna Gorchakova at 76.3%
88 points played in total.
H2H Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko 12–29 Anna Gorchakova Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko has won 12 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:26What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Gorchakova
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-29 in 41
Gorchakova
Wrong
gap of 17 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hordynska-Sheiko 1301 vs Gorchakova 1481
Gorchakova
Wrong
both rated, 180 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hordynska-Sheiko 20% vs Gorchakova 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hordynska-Sheiko 20% vs Gorchakova 40%
Gorchakova
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hordynska-Sheiko -4 · Gorchakova -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Gorchakova)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gorchakova form (20%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHordynska-Sheiko 3.40 / Gorchakova 1.30
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Gorchakova)+4.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12471551
Hordynska-Sheiko3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Gorchakova1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHordynska-Sheiko3wins
AwayGorchakova7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGorchakova leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHordynska-Sheiko66.7%2 of 3
AwayGorchakova85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hordynska-Sheiko3Gorchakova7n = 10Gorchakova took 7 of 10
S2Hordynska-Sheiko4Gorchakova6n = 10Gorchakova took 6 of 10
S3Hordynska-Sheiko4Gorchakova6n = 10Gorchakova took 6 of 10
S4Hordynska-Sheiko2Gorchakova5n = 7Gorchakova took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHordynska-SheikoGorchakovaH − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.738.6−3.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHordynska-SheikoGorchakovaBasisWin rate · lifetime161 / 482 vs 185 / 39833.4%46.5%161 / 482 vs 185 / 398Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.135.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GorchakovaHordynska-Sheiko 3.40/Gorchakova 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.3%
Gorchakova · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hordynska-Sheiko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 26 · 16:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko—114951A. Gorchakova—61111113
LJun 28 · 12:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko—41114922A. Gorchakova—1161211113
LJun 27 · 17:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko—1171181A. Gorchakova—13115113
WMay 23 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko—11911113A. Gorchakova—411881
LMay 17 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko—6790A. Gorchakova—1111113
LMay 16 · 19:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko—51090A. Gorchakova—1112113
WMay 8 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko—71111113A. Gorchakova—118481
LApr 30 · 16:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko—8119111A. Gorchakova—11711133
WApr 24 · 16:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko—131187113A. Gorchakova—119111192
LApr 17 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko—68100A. Gorchakova—1111123
A. Hordynska-Sheiko10
LSep 5 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko5.50291171V. Shevchuk1.1311117113LSep 5 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.7512971A. Volgina1.251411112WSep 5 · 15:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811711113O. Ivchenko1.3311211752WSep 5 · 14:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.00971111113M. Gordeets1.2211119892WSep 5 · 12:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811611113A. Gorchakova1.3311711992LAug 29 · 19:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.757770M. Gordeets1.25111193LAug 29 · 16:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.2569131192O. Ivchenko1.331111117113LAug 29 · 15:05K. Bondarenko1.081111912113A. Hordynska-Sheiko7.0059111462LAug 29 · 13:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.4012911872A. Volgina1.301011911113LAug 22 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25141161362O. Ivchenko1.331671111113
A. Gorchakova10
WSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113WSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070WSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193LSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861LSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460LSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk1.2511711113A. Gorchakova3.75611651LSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641LSep 5 · 12:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811611113A. Gorchakova1.3311711992
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