TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13084806
Played Sep 6Finished
Oleksandra Ivchenko
Home
1.22
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
3111171311119––
Olena Bondareva
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:58 and never touched — 82.9% is still 82.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandra Ivchenko to win
82.9%
82.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandra Ivchenko above · Olena Bondareva below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Oleksandra Ivchenko at 82.9%
76 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandra Ivchenko 43–10 Olena Bondareva Olena Bondareva has won 10 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Ivchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-10 in 53
Ivchenko
Correct
gap of 33 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivchenko 1495 vs Bondareva 1423
Ivchenko
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivchenko 0% vs Bondareva 20%
Bondareva
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivchenko 20% vs Bondareva 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivchenko -5 · Bondareva -2
Ivchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Ivchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivchenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvchenko 1.22 / Bondareva 4.00
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Ivchenko)+6.3pp
Setka Cup Women · #13084806
Ivchenko1.22
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Bondareva4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvchenko9wins
AwayBondareva1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderIvchenko leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvchenko100%7 of 7
AwayBondareva33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivchenko7Bondareva3n = 10Ivchenko took 7 of 10
S2Ivchenko7Bondareva3n = 10Ivchenko took 7 of 10
S3Ivchenko7Bondareva3n = 10Ivchenko took 7 of 10
S4Ivchenko3Bondareva3n = 6split evenly
S5Ivchenko4Bondareva0n = 4Ivchenko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvchenkoBondarevaI − BBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.233.6+7.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvchenkoBondarevaBasisWin rate · lifetime350 / 567 vs 114 / 29361.7%38.9%350 / 567 vs 114 / 293Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.535.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvchenkoIvchenko 1.22/Bondareva 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.9%
Ivchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ivchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 10 · 13:35O. Ivchenko—116117113O. Bondareva—71181142
LJun 28 · 17:35O. Ivchenko—811581O. Bondareva—11811113
WJun 26 · 17:35O. Ivchenko—811119133O. Bondareva—118511112
WJun 20 · 13:35O. Ivchenko—116811113O. Bondareva—61111632
WJun 14 · 19:05O. Ivchenko—1111123O. Bondareva—57100
WJun 7 · 16:05O. Ivchenko—1181111113O. Bondareva—13117472
WMay 30 · 15:35O. Ivchenko—131111113O. Bondareva—1131381
WMay 15 · 16:05O. Ivchenko—1111123O. Bondareva—87100
WMay 9 · 09:55O. Ivchenko—1213113O. Bondareva—101190
WApr 24 · 16:05O. Ivchenko—1111113O. Bondareva—7640
O. Ivchenko10
LSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113LSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113LSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113LSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151LSep 5 · 15:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811711113O. Ivchenko1.3311211752WSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641WSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113LAug 30 · 19:05A. Gorchakova2.75812515113O. Ivchenko1.401110111372LAug 30 · 18:05A. Volgina2.1011126113O. Ivchenko1.678101151
O. Bondareva10
LSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100LSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070WSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123LAug 29 · 18:35O. Bondareva3.251166101K. Bondarenko1.3391111102LAug 29 · 14:05O. Bondareva4.00127591O. Ivchenko1.22101111113LAug 29 · 12:35O. Bondareva4.00111144152M. Gordeets1.22881111173LAug 20 · 19:05O. Bondareva3.50881231A. Gorchakova1.28111110113WAug 20 · 17:05K. Tymchenko3.509580O. Bondareva1.281111113LAug 20 · 16:05O. Bondareva3.259790V. Shevchuk1.331111113WAug 20 · 15:05A. Lapa1.3311711292O. Bondareva3.25911611113
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