TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13043059
Played Aug 30Finished
Ksenia Tymchenko
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11131210115118––
Viktoria Shevchuk
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:28 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeViktoria Shevchuk to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKsenia Tymchenko above · Viktoria Shevchuk below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 81 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Viktoria Shevchuk at 62.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Ksenia Tymchenko 8–12 Viktoria Shevchuk Ksenia Tymchenko has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Shevchuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-12 in 20
Shevchuk
Wrong
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tymchenko 1514 vs Shevchuk 1574
Shevchuk
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tymchenko 60% vs Shevchuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tymchenko 60% vs Shevchuk 40%
Tymchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tymchenko -2 · Shevchuk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Shevchuk) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tymchenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTymchenko 2.38 / Shevchuk 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Shevchuk)+3.2pp
Setka Cup Women · #13043059
Tymchenko2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Shevchuk1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTymchenko3wins
AwayShevchuk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderShevchuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTymchenko75%3 of 4
AwayShevchuk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tymchenko4Shevchuk6n = 10Shevchuk took 6 of 10
S2Tymchenko5Shevchuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Tymchenko5Shevchuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Tymchenko2Shevchuk5n = 7Shevchuk took 5 of 7
S5Tymchenko1Shevchuk2n = 3Shevchuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTymchenkoShevchukT − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.340.1−2.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTymchenkoShevchukBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 416 vs 150 / 26234.9%57.3%145 / 416 vs 150 / 262Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShevchukTymchenko 2.38/Shevchuk 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64%
Shevchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tymchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 14:05K. Tymchenko—101190V. Shevchuk—1213113
LAug 15 · 13:05K. Tymchenko—9117101V. Shevchuk—11911123
WAug 8 · 14:05K. Tymchenko—123116113V. Shevchuk—101151192
WAug 2 · 16:05K. Tymchenko—1211133V. Shevchuk—102110
LJul 11 · 15:05K. Tymchenko—121161182V. Shevchuk—146119113
LJul 10 · 18:35K. Tymchenko—711561V. Shevchuk—11611113
WJul 4 · 12:35K. Tymchenko—1114113V. Shevchuk—81290
LJul 3 · 18:05K. Tymchenko—9101151V. Shevchuk—11126113
LJun 6 · 16:35K. Tymchenko—8101291V. Shevchuk—111210113
LJun 5 · 13:35K. Tymchenko—11781132V. Shevchuk—811119113
K. Tymchenko10
LSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113LSep 6 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.50451131V. Shevchuk1.5011117113LSep 4 · 19:05K. Tymchenko3.256960A. Gorchakova1.331111113LSep 4 · 17:05K. Bondarenko1.2211116593K. Tymchenko4.0099111162LSep 4 · 16:05K. Tymchenko2.50711771M. Gordeets1.5011411113LSep 4 · 15:05A. Lapa1.4017811113K. Tymchenko2.751511481WSep 4 · 13:35K. Tymchenko2.631110611133A. Volgina1.44512116112WAug 30 · 18:35K. Tymchenko2.63111111113A. Lapa1.44913671LAug 30 · 17:05K. Tymchenko3.251191081A. Gorchakova1.3381112113LAug 30 · 14:05K. Tymchenko2.751147111A. Volgina1.4081111123
V. Shevchuk10
WSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102LSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.50451131V. Shevchuk1.5011117113LSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123WSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113WSep 5 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko5.50291171V. Shevchuk1.1311117113WSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151WSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk1.2511711113A. Gorchakova3.75611651LSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 5 · 13:05V. Shevchuk2.001681151M. Gordeets1.7318115113
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