TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13107919
Played Sep 10Finished
Yevheniia Severina
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4117111191012––
Kateryna Bondarenko
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:03 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeKateryna Bondarenko to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevheniia Severina above · Kateryna Bondarenko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 75 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Kateryna Bondarenko at 66.3%
75 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Bondarenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Severina 1349 vs Bondarenko 1660
Bondarenko
Correct
both rated, 310 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Severina 0% vs Bondarenko 60%
Bondarenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Severina 0% vs Bondarenko 50%
Bondarenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Severina -5 · Bondarenko +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Bondarenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bondarenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeverina 2.75 / Bondarenko 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Bondarenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #13107919
Severina2.75
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
Bondarenko1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeverinaBondarenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 64 vs 85 / 12331.3%69.1%20 / 64 vs 85 / 123Avg sets wonper match1.52.5per matchAvg pointsper match34.541.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarenkoSeverina 2.75/Bondarenko 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Bondarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bondarenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Y. Severina10
LSep 10 · 13:05Y. Severina4.008760V. Shevchuk1.221111113LJul 3 · 19:35Y. Severina3.0071250V. Shevchuk1.361114113LJul 3 · 17:35A. Lapa1.53116311113Y. Severina2.3861111582LJul 3 · 15:35O. Bondareva2.5011126153Y. Severina1.5061011131LJul 3 · 14:35Y. Severina1.737490K. Tymchenko2.001111113LJul 3 · 13:35A. Volgina1.401112113Y. Severina2.7581060LMay 16 · 18:35Y. Severina2.25511571A. Lapa1.5711711113LMay 16 · 17:05Y. Severina2.20612571A. Gorchakova1.61111011113LMay 16 · 15:35Y. Severina3.408970O. Ivchenko1.301111113LMay 16 · 14:05Y. Severina4.3359100M. Gordeets1.201111102
K. Bondarenko10
WSep 10 · 13:35K. Bondarenko1.611112113A. Volgina2.2071070WSep 4 · 18:35K. Bondarenko1.401771311123A. Lapa2.751511156102WSep 4 · 17:05K. Bondarenko1.2211116593K. Tymchenko4.0099111162LSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.6171131192A. Volgina2.20113117113LSep 4 · 14:05K. Bondarenko1.8311411422M. Gordeets1.83911711113LSep 4 · 12:35K. Bondarenko1.4011911972A. Gorchakova2.75911711113WAug 29 · 18:35O. Bondareva3.251166101K. Bondarenko1.3391111102LAug 29 · 17:35K. Bondarenko1.44711581A. Volgina2.6311611113LAug 29 · 16:35K. Bondarenko1.73116481M. Gordeets2.0091111113WAug 29 · 15:05K. Bondarenko1.081111912113A. Hordynska-Sheiko7.0059111462
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