TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #11896668
Played May 16Finished
Yevheniia Severina
Home
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911711––––
Oleksandra Ivchenko
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingYevheniia Severina above · Oleksandra Ivchenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 57 set 3, 7-11
57 points played in total.
H2H Yevheniia Severina 8–25 Oleksandra Ivchenko Yevheniia Severina has won 8 of their 33 meetings.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Ivchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivchenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeverina 3.40 / Ivchenko 1.30
Signal prob.12% / 88%
Edge (Ivchenko)+15.8pp
Setka Cup Women · #11896668
Severina3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Ivchenko1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSeverina2wins
AwayIvchenko8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderIvchenko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeverina0%0 of 3
AwayIvchenko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Severina3Ivchenko7n = 10Ivchenko took 7 of 10
S2Severina3Ivchenko7n = 10Ivchenko took 7 of 10
S3Severina5Ivchenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Severina3Ivchenko5n = 8Ivchenko took 5 of 8
S5Severina1Ivchenko3n = 4Ivchenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSeverinaIvchenkoS − IBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.341.6−4.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeverinaIvchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 201 vs 442 / 69038.8%64.1%78 / 201 vs 442 / 690Avg sets wonper match1.72.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.739.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvchenkoSeverina 3.40/Ivchenko 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.1%
Ivchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ivchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJan 9 · 18:35Y. Severina—3O. Ivchenko—2
LSep 13 · 13:05Y. Severina—0O. Ivchenko—3
WSep 12 · 13:35Y. Severina—3O. Ivchenko—1
LSep 6 · 18:05Y. Severina—1O. Ivchenko—3
LSep 5 · 19:05Y. Severina—1O. Ivchenko—3
LAug 9 · 16:05Y. Severina—1O. Ivchenko—3
LAug 8 · 13:30Y. Severina—2O. Ivchenko—3
LAug 2 · 17:35Y. Severina—0O. Ivchenko—3
LJul 19 · 13:35Y. Severina—2O. Ivchenko—3
LJul 18 · 16:35Y. Severina—2O. Ivchenko—3
Y. Severina10
LSep 10 · 13:05Y. Severina4.008760V. Shevchuk1.221111113LJul 3 · 19:35Y. Severina3.0071250V. Shevchuk1.361114113LJul 3 · 17:35A. Lapa1.53116311113Y. Severina2.3861111582LJul 3 · 15:35O. Bondareva2.5011126153Y. Severina1.5061011131LJul 3 · 14:35Y. Severina1.737490K. Tymchenko2.001111113LJul 3 · 13:35A. Volgina1.401112113Y. Severina2.7581060LMay 16 · 18:35Y. Severina2.25511571A. Lapa1.5711711113LMay 16 · 17:05Y. Severina2.20612571A. Gorchakova1.61111011113LMay 16 · 14:05Y. Severina4.3359100M. Gordeets1.201111102WMay 16 · 12:35Y. Severina1.57119117133A. Hordynska-Sheiko2.25811511112
O. Ivchenko10
WSep 6 · 19:05O. Ivchenko1.2231113113O. Bondareva4.001171191LSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113LSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113LSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113LSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151LSep 5 · 15:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811711113O. Ivchenko1.3311211752WSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641WSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113LAug 30 · 19:05A. Gorchakova2.75812515113O. Ivchenko1.401110111372
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