TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12147389
Played Jul 3Finished
Yevheniia Severina
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711411911––––
Ksenia Tymchenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingYevheniia Severina above · Ksenia Tymchenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 53 set 3, 9-11
53 points played in total.
H2H Yevheniia Severina 4–4 Ksenia Tymchenko Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Severina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tymchenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeverina 1.73 / Tymchenko 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Severina)+0.3pp
Setka Cup Women · #12147389
Severina1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Tymchenko2.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSeverina4wins
AwayTymchenko4wins
4 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeverinan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayTymchenko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Severina2Tymchenko6n = 8Tymchenko took 6 of 8
S2Severina3Tymchenko5n = 8Tymchenko took 5 of 8
S3Severina6Tymchenko2n = 8Severina took 6 of 8
S4Severina4Tymchenko3n = 7Severina took 4 of 7
S5Severina2Tymchenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricSeverinaTymchenkoS − TBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match40.243.6−3.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeverinaTymchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime79 / 211 vs 133 / 41137.4%32.4%79 / 211 vs 133 / 411Avg sets wonper match1.71.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.435.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeverinaSeverina 1.73/Tymchenko 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Severina · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tymchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJul 3 · 14:35Y. Severina—7490K. Tymchenko—1111113
LFeb 6 · 14:35Y. Severina—71161172K. Tymchenko—114119113
LSep 27 · 18:35Y. Severina—71319542K. Tymchenko—11111711113
LSep 25 · 19:05Y. Severina—6511101K. Tymchenko—11118123
WSep 5 · 17:05Y. Severina—91111113K. Tymchenko—116781
WAug 9 · 17:05Y. Severina—12611123K. Tymchenko—10119101
WJul 19 · 17:05Y. Severina—115118113K. Tymchenko—91161182
WJun 20 · 16:35Y. Severina—871111143K. Tymchenko—111188122
Y. Severina10
LSep 10 · 13:05Y. Severina4.008760V. Shevchuk1.221111113LJul 3 · 19:35Y. Severina3.0071250V. Shevchuk1.361114113LJul 3 · 17:35A. Lapa1.53116311113Y. Severina2.3861111582LJul 3 · 15:35O. Bondareva2.5011126153Y. Severina1.5061011131LJul 3 · 13:35A. Volgina1.401112113Y. Severina2.7581060LMay 16 · 18:35Y. Severina2.25511571A. Lapa1.5711711113LMay 16 · 17:05Y. Severina2.20612571A. Gorchakova1.61111011113LMay 16 · 15:35Y. Severina3.408970O. Ivchenko1.301111113LMay 16 · 14:05Y. Severina4.3359100M. Gordeets1.201111102WMay 16 · 12:35Y. Severina1.57119117133A. Hordynska-Sheiko2.25811511112
K. Tymchenko10
LSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113LSep 6 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.50451131V. Shevchuk1.5011117113LSep 4 · 19:05K. Tymchenko3.256960A. Gorchakova1.331111113LSep 4 · 17:05K. Bondarenko1.2211116593K. Tymchenko4.0099111162LSep 4 · 16:05K. Tymchenko2.50711771M. Gordeets1.5011411113LSep 4 · 15:05A. Lapa1.4017811113K. Tymchenko2.751511481WSep 4 · 13:35K. Tymchenko2.631110611133A. Volgina1.44512116112WAug 30 · 18:35K. Tymchenko2.63111111113A. Lapa1.44913671LAug 30 · 17:05K. Tymchenko3.251191081A. Gorchakova1.3381112113WAug 30 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.38111211113V. Shevchuk1.531310581
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