TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #11896671
Played May 16Finished
Yevheniia Severina
Home
4.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 2
Set by set
5119111010––––
Margarita Gordeets
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingYevheniia Severina above · Margarita Gordeets below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-10
Point 56 set 3, 10-10
56 points played in total.
H2H Yevheniia Severina 5–23 Margarita Gordeets Yevheniia Severina has won 5 of their 28 meetings.
Signal confidence: 94% — Strong (leans Gordeets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Severina form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeverina 4.33 / Gordeets 1.20
Signal prob.6% / 94%
Edge (Gordeets)+15.8pp
Setka Cup Women · #11896671
Severina4.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Gordeets1.20
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSeverina3wins
AwayGordeets7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGordeets leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeverina50%2 of 4
AwayGordeets80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Severina4Gordeets5n = 9Gordeets took 5 of 9
S2Severina5Gordeets4n = 9Severina took 5 of 9
S3Severina1Gordeets7n = 9Gordeets took 7 of 9
S4Severina2Gordeets4n = 6Gordeets took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSeverinaGordeetsS − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match37.038.7−1.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeverinaGordeetsBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 201 vs 416 / 71338.8%58.4%78 / 201 vs 416 / 713Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GordeetsSeverina 4.33/Gordeets 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
94.1%
Gordeets · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–2
Gordeets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJan 9 · 14:05Y. Severina—0M. Gordeets—3
LSep 27 · 13:05Y. Severina—0M. Gordeets—3
LSep 26 · 19:05Y. Severina—1M. Gordeets—3
LSep 12 · 17:05Y. Severina—1M. Gordeets—3
WAug 9 · 13:35Y. Severina—3M. Gordeets—2
LAug 8 · 19:05Y. Severina—1M. Gordeets—3
WAug 2 · 16:35Y. Severina—2M. Gordeets—0
WJul 19 · 16:05Y. Severina—3M. Gordeets—1
LJul 18 · 17:35Y. Severina—2M. Gordeets—3
Y. Severina10
LSep 10 · 13:05Y. Severina4.008760V. Shevchuk1.221111113LJul 3 · 19:35Y. Severina3.0071250V. Shevchuk1.361114113LJul 3 · 17:35A. Lapa1.53116311113Y. Severina2.3861111582LJul 3 · 15:35O. Bondareva2.5011126153Y. Severina1.5061011131LJul 3 · 14:35Y. Severina1.737490K. Tymchenko2.001111113LJul 3 · 13:35A. Volgina1.401112113Y. Severina2.7581060LMay 16 · 18:35Y. Severina2.25511571A. Lapa1.5711711113LMay 16 · 17:05Y. Severina2.20612571A. Gorchakova1.61111011113LMay 16 · 15:35Y. Severina3.408970O. Ivchenko1.301111113WMay 16 · 12:35Y. Severina1.57119117133A. Hordynska-Sheiko2.25811511112
M. Gordeets10
LSep 10 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.5012132113M. Gordeets1.2810111171LSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102WSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100WSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113WSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193WSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113WSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460WSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113LSep 5 · 14:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.00971111113M. Gordeets1.2211119892WSep 5 · 13:05V. Shevchuk2.001681151M. Gordeets1.7318115113
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