TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13107086
Played Sep 10Finished
Anna Gorchakova
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101311211117––
Margarita Gordeets
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:52 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeMargarita Gordeets to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnna Gorchakova above · Margarita Gordeets below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 77 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Margarita Gordeets at 79.4%
77 points played in total.
H2H Anna Gorchakova 10–56 Margarita Gordeets Anna Gorchakova has won 10 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:52What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Gordeets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-56 in 66
Gordeets
Wrong
gap of 46 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gorchakova 1540 vs Gordeets 1678
Gordeets
Wrong
both rated, 139 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gorchakova 80% vs Gordeets 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gorchakova 40% vs Gordeets 80%
Gordeets
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gorchakova +4 · Gordeets -1
Gorchakova
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Gordeets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gorchakova form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGorchakova 3.50 / Gordeets 1.28
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Gordeets)+6.3pp
Setka Cup Women · #13107086
Gorchakova3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Gordeets1.28
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGorchakova3wins
AwayGordeets7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGordeets leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGorchakova50%2 of 4
AwayGordeets83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gorchakova4Gordeets6n = 10Gordeets took 6 of 10
S2Gorchakova3Gordeets7n = 10Gordeets took 7 of 10
S3Gorchakova5Gordeets5n = 10split evenly
S4Gorchakova2Gordeets3n = 5Gordeets took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricGorchakovaGordeetsGorchakova − GordeetsBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.135.6−3.5per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGorchakovaGordeetsBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 424 vs 361 / 62046.2%58.2%196 / 424 vs 361 / 620Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GordeetsGorchakova 3.50/Gordeets 1.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.4%
Gordeets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gorchakova won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova—11511762M. Gordeets—61131193
LSep 5 · 18:05A. Gorchakova—9460M. Gordeets—1111113
LSep 4 · 18:05A. Gorchakova—108110M. Gordeets—1211133
LAug 23 · 15:35A. Gorchakova—11118322M. Gordeets—951111113
LAug 22 · 16:35A. Gorchakova—9870M. Gordeets—1111113
WAug 20 · 14:35A. Gorchakova—141311113M. Gordeets—1611851
LAug 14 · 15:35A. Gorchakova—5870M. Gordeets—1111113
LJul 25 · 15:05A. Gorchakova—871121M. Gordeets—11111113
WJul 24 · 15:35A. Gorchakova—1311113M. Gordeets—11460
WJul 18 · 17:05A. Gorchakova—11711133M. Gordeets—9118111
A. Gorchakova10
WSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113WSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070WSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193LSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861LSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460LSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk1.2511711113A. Gorchakova3.75611651LSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641LSep 5 · 12:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811611113A. Gorchakova1.3311711992
M. Gordeets10
LSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102WSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100WSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113WSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193WSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113WSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460WSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113LSep 5 · 14:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.00971111113M. Gordeets1.2211119892WSep 5 · 13:05V. Shevchuk2.001681151M. Gordeets1.7318115113WSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113
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