TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12147369
Played Jul 3Finished
Olena Bondareva
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11612106111513––
Yevheniia Severina
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
How it is goingOlena Bondareva above · Yevheniia Severina below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 15-13
Point 84 set 4, 15-13
84 points played in total.
H2H Olena Bondareva 4–9 Yevheniia Severina Olena Bondareva has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Severina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Severina form (0%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondareva 2.50 / Severina 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Severina)+4.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12147369
Bondareva2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Severina1.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBondareva4wins
AwaySeverina6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSeverina leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBondareva57.1%4 of 7
AwaySeverina100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bondareva7Severina3n = 10Bondareva took 7 of 10
S2Bondareva5Severina5n = 10split evenly
S3Bondareva4Severina6n = 10Severina took 6 of 10
S4Bondareva3Severina5n = 8Severina took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBondarevaSeverinaB − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.938.6−1.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarevaSeverinaBasisWin rate · lifetime150 / 389 vs 79 / 21038.6%37.6%150 / 389 vs 79 / 210Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.535.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeverinaBondareva 2.50/Severina 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.5%
Severina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bondareva won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 3 · 15:35O. Bondareva—11126153Y. Severina—61011131
LFeb 6 · 16:05O. Bondareva—1051161Y. Severina—12116113
LSep 13 · 18:35O. Bondareva—6970Y. Severina—1111113
LJul 25 · 15:05O. Bondareva—1185111Y. Severina—51111133
WJul 18 · 15:05O. Bondareva—1111133Y. Severina—57110
LMay 9 · 17:05O. Bondareva—11913762Y. Severina—9111111113
WApr 26 · 17:05O. Bondareva—11129113Y. Severina—5101151
LMar 21 · 19:35O. Bondareva—861151Y. Severina—11118103
WMar 13 · 18:05O. Bondareva—12118113Y. Severina—1091171
LFeb 8 · 18:05O. Bondareva—11115852Y. Severina—99111193
O. Bondareva10
LSep 6 · 19:05O. Ivchenko1.2231113113O. Bondareva4.001171191LSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100LSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070WSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123LAug 29 · 18:35O. Bondareva3.251166101K. Bondarenko1.3391111102LAug 29 · 14:05O. Bondareva4.00127591O. Ivchenko1.22101111113LAug 29 · 12:35O. Bondareva4.00111144152M. Gordeets1.22881111173LAug 20 · 19:05O. Bondareva3.50881231A. Gorchakova1.28111110113WAug 20 · 17:05K. Tymchenko3.509580O. Bondareva1.281111113LAug 20 · 16:05O. Bondareva3.259790V. Shevchuk1.331111113
Y. Severina10
LSep 10 · 13:05Y. Severina4.008760V. Shevchuk1.221111113LJul 3 · 19:35Y. Severina3.0071250V. Shevchuk1.361114113LJul 3 · 17:35A. Lapa1.53116311113Y. Severina2.3861111582LJul 3 · 14:35Y. Severina1.737490K. Tymchenko2.001111113LJul 3 · 13:35A. Volgina1.401112113Y. Severina2.7581060LMay 16 · 18:35Y. Severina2.25511571A. Lapa1.5711711113LMay 16 · 17:05Y. Severina2.20612571A. Gorchakova1.61111011113LMay 16 · 15:35Y. Severina3.408970O. Ivchenko1.301111113LMay 16 · 14:05Y. Severina4.3359100M. Gordeets1.201111102WMay 16 · 12:35Y. Severina1.57119117133A. Hordynska-Sheiko2.25811511112
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