TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12147374
Played Jul 3Finished
Anna Lapa
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116611311115118
Yevheniia Severina
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
How it is goingAnna Lapa above · Yevheniia Severina below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 83 set 5, 11-8
83 points played in total.
H2H Anna Lapa 16–8 Yevheniia Severina Yevheniia Severina has won 8 of their 24 meetings.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Lapa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Severina form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLapa 1.53 / Severina 2.38
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Lapa)+4.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12147374
Lapa1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Severina2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLapa7wins
AwaySeverina3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLapa leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLapa85.7%6 of 7
AwaySeverina66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lapa7Severina3n = 10Lapa took 7 of 10
S2Lapa5Severina5n = 10split evenly
S3Lapa5Severina5n = 10split evenly
S4Lapa4Severina2n = 6Lapa took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLapaSeverinaL − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match33.731.6+2.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLapaSeverinaBasisWin rate · lifetime300 / 592 vs 79 / 21050.7%37.6%300 / 592 vs 79 / 210Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.035.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LapaLapa 1.53/Severina 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.8%
Lapa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lapa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 3 · 17:35A. Lapa—116311113Y. Severina—61111582
WMay 16 · 18:35A. Lapa—11711113Y. Severina—511571
WFeb 6 · 18:05A. Lapa—121111113Y. Severina—148851
WJan 9 · 19:35A. Lapa—1111113Y. Severina—6880
LSep 26 · 15:05A. Lapa—8940Y. Severina—1111113
LSep 25 · 17:05A. Lapa—112831Y. Severina—81111113
WSep 13 · 16:35A. Lapa—111172Y. Severina—8681
WSep 6 · 12:35A. Lapa—1111113Y. Severina—9590
LAug 8 · 15:02A. Lapa—361171Y. Severina—11118113
WJul 25 · 17:05A. Lapa—11119123Y. Severina—5411101
A. Lapa10
LSep 4 · 18:35K. Bondarenko1.401771311123A. Lapa2.751511156102LSep 4 · 17:35A. Lapa2.201071151A. Volgina1.6112116113LSep 4 · 16:35A. Lapa2.2010870A. Gorchakova1.611211113WSep 4 · 15:05A. Lapa1.4017811113K. Tymchenko2.751511481WSep 4 · 13:05A. Lapa2.2011611133M. Gordeets1.618116111LAug 30 · 18:35K. Tymchenko2.63111111113A. Lapa1.44913671LAug 30 · 17:35A. Lapa3.25811371V. Shevchuk1.3311611113LAug 30 · 16:35A. Lapa2.631191161O. Ivchenko1.4413115113LAug 30 · 15:05A. Lapa2.6381060A. Gorchakova1.441112113LAug 30 · 13:05A. Lapa2.2011138392A. Volgina1.616111111113
Y. Severina10
LSep 10 · 13:05Y. Severina4.008760V. Shevchuk1.221111113LJul 3 · 19:35Y. Severina3.0071250V. Shevchuk1.361114113LJul 3 · 15:35O. Bondareva2.5011126153Y. Severina1.5061011131LJul 3 · 14:35Y. Severina1.737490K. Tymchenko2.001111113LJul 3 · 13:35A. Volgina1.401112113Y. Severina2.7581060LMay 16 · 18:35Y. Severina2.25511571A. Lapa1.5711711113LMay 16 · 17:05Y. Severina2.20612571A. Gorchakova1.61111011113LMay 16 · 15:35Y. Severina3.408970O. Ivchenko1.301111113LMay 16 · 14:05Y. Severina4.3359100M. Gordeets1.201111102WMay 16 · 12:35Y. Severina1.57119117133A. Hordynska-Sheiko2.25811511112
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