TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13043062
Played Aug 30Finished
Anna Lapa
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811116311711––
Viktoria Shevchuk
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:27 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeViktoria Shevchuk to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnna Lapa above · Viktoria Shevchuk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 68 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Viktoria Shevchuk at 75.3%
68 points played in total.
H2H Anna Lapa 5–18 Viktoria Shevchuk Anna Lapa has won 5 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:27What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Shevchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-18 in 23
Shevchuk
Correct
gap of 13 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lapa 1465 vs Shevchuk 1555
Shevchuk
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lapa 20% vs Shevchuk 60%
Shevchuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lapa 40% vs Shevchuk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lapa -4 · Shevchuk -1
Lapa
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Shevchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shevchuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLapa 3.25 / Shevchuk 1.33
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Shevchuk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup Women · #13043062
Lapa3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Shevchuk1.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLapa1wins
AwayShevchuk9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderShevchuk leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLapa25%1 of 4
AwayShevchuk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lapa4Shevchuk6n = 10Shevchuk took 6 of 10
S2Lapa2Shevchuk8n = 10Shevchuk took 8 of 10
S3Lapa4Shevchuk6n = 10Shevchuk took 6 of 10
S4Lapa2Shevchuk4n = 6Shevchuk took 4 of 6
S5Lapa0Shevchuk3n = 3Shevchuk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLapaShevchukL − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.340.0−6.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLapaShevchukBasisWin rate · lifetime250 / 482 vs 150 / 26351.9%57%250 / 482 vs 150 / 263Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShevchukLapa 3.25/Shevchuk 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Shevchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Shevchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 13:05A. Lapa—7870V. Shevchuk—1111113
LAug 14 · 16:35A. Lapa—1051111102V. Shevchuk—121178123
LAug 7 · 13:35A. Lapa—771161V. Shevchuk—11117113
LAug 2 · 13:05A. Lapa—91030V. Shevchuk—1112113
LJul 26 · 14:05A. Lapa—112681V. Shevchuk—91111113
LJul 24 · 13:05A. Lapa—49140V. Shevchuk—1111163
WJul 3 · 13:05A. Lapa—1311113V. Shevchuk—11770
LJun 21 · 18:35A. Lapa—15781182V. Shevchuk—1311117113
LJun 13 · 16:35A. Lapa—11113962V. Shevchuk—871111113
LJun 12 · 16:35A. Lapa—881161V. Shevchuk—11114113
A. Lapa10
LSep 4 · 18:35K. Bondarenko1.401771311123A. Lapa2.751511156102LSep 4 · 17:35A. Lapa2.201071151A. Volgina1.6112116113LSep 4 · 16:35A. Lapa2.2010870A. Gorchakova1.611211113WSep 4 · 15:05A. Lapa1.4017811113K. Tymchenko2.751511481WSep 4 · 13:05A. Lapa2.2011611133M. Gordeets1.618116111LAug 30 · 18:35K. Tymchenko2.63111111113A. Lapa1.44913671LAug 30 · 16:35A. Lapa2.631191161O. Ivchenko1.4413115113LAug 30 · 15:05A. Lapa2.6381060A. Gorchakova1.441112113LAug 30 · 13:05A. Lapa2.2011138392A. Volgina1.616111111113LAug 20 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.2511114113A. Lapa1.33971161
V. Shevchuk10
WSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102LSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.50451131V. Shevchuk1.5011117113LSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123WSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113WSep 5 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko5.50291171V. Shevchuk1.1311117113WSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151WSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk1.2511711113A. Gorchakova3.75611651LSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 5 · 13:05V. Shevchuk2.001681151M. Gordeets1.7318115113
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