TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13043055
Played Aug 30Finished
Anna Lapa
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113911115611––
Oleksandra Ivchenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:27 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandra Ivchenko to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnna Lapa above · Oleksandra Ivchenko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 77 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Oleksandra Ivchenko at 68.9%
77 points played in total.
H2H Anna Lapa 24–64 Oleksandra Ivchenko Anna Lapa has won 24 of their 88 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:27What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Ivchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-64 in 88
Ivchenko
Correct
gap of 40 in 88, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lapa 1441 vs Ivchenko 1635
Ivchenko
Correct
both rated, 194 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lapa 40% vs Ivchenko 60%
Ivchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lapa 40% vs Ivchenko 60%
Ivchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lapa -3 · Ivchenko -1
Lapa
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Ivchenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLapa 2.63 / Ivchenko 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Ivchenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup Women · #13043055
Lapa2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Ivchenko1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLapa2wins
AwayIvchenko8wins
6 of 10 to a deciderIvchenko leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLapa0%0 of 5
AwayIvchenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lapa5Ivchenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Lapa3Ivchenko7n = 10Ivchenko took 7 of 10
S3Lapa5Ivchenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Lapa4Ivchenko5n = 9Ivchenko took 5 of 9
S5Lapa1Ivchenko5n = 6Ivchenko took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLapaIvchenkoL − IBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.443.3−4.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLapaIvchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime250 / 481 vs 356 / 57152%62.4%250 / 481 vs 356 / 571Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvchenkoLapa 2.63/Ivchenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Ivchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ivchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 16 · 15:35A. Lapa—8570O. Ivchenko—1111113
LAug 7 · 19:05A. Lapa—111171262O. Ivchenko—871114113
LJul 31 · 17:35A. Lapa—111161192O. Ivchenko—613117113
LJul 24 · 15:05A. Lapa—58111262O. Ivchenko—1111910113
LJul 19 · 16:35A. Lapa—11514462O. Ivchenko—8111211113
LJun 27 · 17:05A. Lapa—781161O. Ivchenko—11118113
WJun 26 · 15:35A. Lapa—711117113O. Ivchenko—11991142
LJun 21 · 16:35A. Lapa—11691162O. Ivchenko—511116113
WJun 14 · 12:35A. Lapa—71111113O. Ivchenko—116441
LJun 13 · 18:05A. Lapa—111941O. Ivchenko—91111113
A. Lapa10
LSep 4 · 18:35K. Bondarenko1.401771311123A. Lapa2.751511156102LSep 4 · 17:35A. Lapa2.201071151A. Volgina1.6112116113LSep 4 · 16:35A. Lapa2.2010870A. Gorchakova1.611211113WSep 4 · 15:05A. Lapa1.4017811113K. Tymchenko2.751511481WSep 4 · 13:05A. Lapa2.2011611133M. Gordeets1.618116111LAug 30 · 18:35K. Tymchenko2.63111111113A. Lapa1.44913671LAug 30 · 17:35A. Lapa3.25811371V. Shevchuk1.3311611113LAug 30 · 15:05A. Lapa2.6381060A. Gorchakova1.441112113LAug 30 · 13:05A. Lapa2.2011138392A. Volgina1.616111111113LAug 20 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.2511114113A. Lapa1.33971161
O. Ivchenko10
WSep 6 · 19:05O. Ivchenko1.2231113113O. Bondareva4.001171191LSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113LSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113LSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113LSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151LSep 5 · 15:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811711113O. Ivchenko1.3311211752WSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641WSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113LAug 30 · 19:05A. Gorchakova2.75812515113O. Ivchenko1.401110111372
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.