TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13074020
Played Sep 4Finished
Anna Lapa
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1186111161311––
Margarita Gordeets
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:09 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeMargarita Gordeets to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnna Lapa above · Margarita Gordeets below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 77 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Margarita Gordeets at 60.9%
77 points played in total.
H2H Anna Lapa 40–49 Margarita Gordeets Anna Lapa has won 40 of their 89 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:09What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Gordeets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-49 in 89
Gordeets
Wrong
gap of 9 in 89, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lapa 1437 vs Gordeets 1652
Gordeets
Wrong
both rated, 215 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lapa 0% vs Gordeets 60%
Gordeets
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lapa 20% vs Gordeets 60%
Gordeets
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lapa -5 · Gordeets +1
Lapa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Gordeets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lapa form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLapa 2.20 / Gordeets 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Gordeets)+3.2pp
Setka Cup Women · #13074020
Lapa2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Gordeets1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLapa6wins
AwayGordeets4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLapa leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLapa85.7%6 of 7
AwayGordeets100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lapa7Gordeets3n = 10Lapa took 7 of 10
S2Lapa5Gordeets5n = 10split evenly
S3Lapa5Gordeets5n = 10split evenly
S4Lapa2Gordeets1n = 3Lapa took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLapaGordeetsL − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.433.9+0.5per matchSweeps43+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLapaGordeetsBasisWin rate · lifetime250 / 484 vs 358 / 62151.7%57.7%250 / 484 vs 358 / 621Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GordeetsLapa 2.20/Gordeets 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.9%
Gordeets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lapa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 17:35A. Lapa—1111113M. Gordeets—9870
LAug 14 · 17:35A. Lapa—83110M. Gordeets—1111133
WAug 2 · 17:35A. Lapa—1211119113M. Gordeets—101351162
WJul 31 · 15:05A. Lapa—111110113M. Gordeets—661291
LJul 24 · 17:35A. Lapa—59100M. Gordeets—1111123
WJul 19 · 17:35A. Lapa—1511113M. Gordeets—13980
WJun 27 · 14:05A. Lapa—1111113M. Gordeets—8890
LJun 26 · 14:05A. Lapa—10870M. Gordeets—1211113
LJun 21 · 17:35A. Lapa—11931242M. Gordeets—8111110113
WJun 14 · 15:35A. Lapa—1211113M. Gordeets—10990
A. Lapa10
LSep 4 · 18:35K. Bondarenko1.401771311123A. Lapa2.751511156102LSep 4 · 17:35A. Lapa2.201071151A. Volgina1.6112116113LSep 4 · 16:35A. Lapa2.2010870A. Gorchakova1.611211113WSep 4 · 15:05A. Lapa1.4017811113K. Tymchenko2.751511481LAug 30 · 18:35K. Tymchenko2.63111111113A. Lapa1.44913671LAug 30 · 17:35A. Lapa3.25811371V. Shevchuk1.3311611113LAug 30 · 16:35A. Lapa2.631191161O. Ivchenko1.4413115113LAug 30 · 15:05A. Lapa2.6381060A. Gorchakova1.441112113LAug 30 · 13:05A. Lapa2.2011138392A. Volgina1.616111111113LAug 20 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.2511114113A. Lapa1.33971161
M. Gordeets10
LSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102WSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100WSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113WSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193WSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113WSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460WSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113LSep 5 · 14:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.00971111113M. Gordeets1.2211119892WSep 5 · 13:05V. Shevchuk2.001681151M. Gordeets1.7318115113WSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113
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