TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13107279
Played Sep 10Finished
Kateryna Bondarenko
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210117––––
Anastasiia Volgina
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:13 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeKateryna Bondarenko to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKateryna Bondarenko above · Anastasiia Volgina below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 58 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Kateryna Bondarenko at 55.3%
58 points played in total.
H2H Kateryna Bondarenko 12–8 Anastasiia Volgina Anastasiia Volgina has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickContradict
Sealed 01:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Bondarenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-8 in 20
Bondarenko
Correct
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bondarenko 1646 vs Volgina 1629
Bondarenko
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondarenko 40% vs Volgina 60%
Volgina
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondarenko 50% vs Volgina 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondarenko +2 · Volgina +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Bondarenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volgina form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondarenko 1.61 / Volgina 2.20
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Bondarenko)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup Women · #13107279
Bondarenko1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Volgina2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBondarenko5wins
AwayVolgina5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBondarenko80%4 of 5
AwayVolgina80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bondarenko5Volgina5n = 10split evenly
S2Bondarenko7Volgina3n = 10Bondarenko took 7 of 10
S3Bondarenko4Volgina6n = 10Volgina took 6 of 10
S4Bondarenko3Volgina6n = 9Volgina took 6 of 9
S5Bondarenko2Volgina1n = 3Bondarenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBondarenkoVolginaB − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.938.1+0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarenkoVolginaBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 122 vs 365 / 64468.9%56.7%84 / 122 vs 365 / 644Avg sets wonper match2.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match41.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarenkoBondarenko 1.61/Volgina 2.20
Hit
What we said
55.3%
Bondarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bondarenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko—71131192A. Volgina—113117113
LAug 29 · 17:35K. Bondarenko—711581A. Volgina—11611113
WAug 16 · 13:05K. Bondarenko—111110113A. Volgina—591291
WAug 7 · 13:05K. Bondarenko—111173113A. Volgina—79111172
LAug 1 · 16:35K. Bondarenko—1111581A. Volgina—13311113
WJul 31 · 18:05K. Bondarenko—1112123A. Volgina—510100
LJul 26 · 13:35K. Bondarenko—1161241A. Volgina—61114113
WJul 18 · 18:05K. Bondarenko—911125113A. Volgina—115101122
WJul 17 · 15:35K. Bondarenko—111011123A. Volgina—7122101
LJul 5 · 14:05K. Bondarenko—681391A. Volgina—111111113
K. Bondarenko10
WSep 4 · 18:35K. Bondarenko1.401771311123A. Lapa2.751511156102WSep 4 · 17:05K. Bondarenko1.2211116593K. Tymchenko4.0099111162LSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.6171131192A. Volgina2.20113117113LSep 4 · 14:05K. Bondarenko1.8311411422M. Gordeets1.83911711113LSep 4 · 12:35K. Bondarenko1.4011911972A. Gorchakova2.75911711113WAug 29 · 18:35O. Bondareva3.251166101K. Bondarenko1.3391111102LAug 29 · 17:35K. Bondarenko1.44711581A. Volgina2.6311611113LAug 29 · 16:35K. Bondarenko1.73116481M. Gordeets2.0091111113WAug 29 · 15:05K. Bondarenko1.081111912113A. Hordynska-Sheiko7.0059111462WAug 29 · 13:05K. Bondarenko1.4011117113O. Ivchenko2.75781131
A. Volgina10
WSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861WSep 5 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.7512971A. Volgina1.251411112LSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113LSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113WSep 4 · 17:35A. Lapa2.201071151A. Volgina1.6112116113WSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.6171131192A. Volgina2.20113117113LSep 4 · 14:35A. Volgina1.36111189102A. Gorchakova3.00961111123WAug 29 · 17:35K. Bondarenko1.44711581A. Volgina2.6311611113
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