TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13155475
Played Sep 19Finished
Kateryna Bondarenko
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171151110––––
Viktoria Shevchuk
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeKateryna Bondarenko to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKateryna Bondarenko above · Viktoria Shevchuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-10
Point 55 set 3, 11-10 — our read held Kateryna Bondarenko at 55.3%
55 points played in total.
H2H Kateryna Bondarenko 11–6 Viktoria Shevchuk Viktoria Shevchuk has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:59What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Bondarenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-6 in 17
Bondarenko
Correct
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bondarenko 1646 vs Shevchuk 1661
Shevchuk
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondarenko 60% vs Shevchuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondarenko 50% vs Shevchuk 80%
Shevchuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondarenko -1 · Shevchuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Bondarenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shevchuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondarenko 1.61 / Shevchuk 2.20
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Bondarenko)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup Women · #13155475
Bondarenko1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 9 days ago (Sep 10) · back after a break
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 75 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it84% 48 of 57
Shevchuk2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 12) · back after a break
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 21 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back38% 8 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBondarenko5wins
AwayShevchuk5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBondarenko60%3 of 5
AwayShevchuk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bondarenko5Shevchuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Bondarenko4Shevchuk6n = 10Shevchuk took 6 of 10
S3Bondarenko4Shevchuk6n = 10Shevchuk took 6 of 10
S4Bondarenko6Shevchuk3n = 9Bondarenko took 6 of 9
S5Bondarenko2Shevchuk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBondarenkoShevchukB − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.540.0−1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarenkoShevchukBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 127 vs 166 / 28568.5%58.3%87 / 127 vs 166 / 285Avg sets wonper match2.52.2per matchAvg pointsper match41.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarenkoBondarenko 1.61/Shevchuk 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Bondarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bondarenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 16:05K. Bondarenko31124691V. Shevchuk43101111113
WAug 7 · 17:35K. Bondarenko4211911113V. Shevchuk30611761
LAug 2 · 14:05K. Bondarenko3811115742V. Shevchuk46941111113
LAug 1 · 17:35K. Bondarenko28541181V. Shevchuk4111118113
WJul 26 · 16:05K. Bondarenko45711511113V. Shevchuk4711811982
LJul 17 · 18:35K. Bondarenko258890V. Shevchuk331111113
WJul 5 · 17:05K. Bondarenko4291111113V. Shevchuk33116971
WJun 12 · 12:35K. Bondarenko481131111123V. Shevchuk46811134102
LJun 6 · 12:35K. Bondarenko4378111162V. Shevchuk46111176113
WJun 5 · 14:35K. Bondarenko43111110113V. Shevchuk35791271
K. Bondarenko10
WSep 19 · 14:05K. Bondarenko1.28611812113O. Bondareva3.50115111072LSep 10 · 19:05K. Bondarenko1.6787111262M. Gordeets2.101111510113WSep 10 · 17:05A. Gorchakova2.6311114572K. Bondarenko1.44971111113LSep 10 · 16:05K. Bondarenko1.50124691V. Shevchuk2.50101111113WSep 10 · 15:05Y. Severina2.754711101K. Bondarenko1.4011119123WSep 10 · 13:35K. Bondarenko1.611112113A. Volgina2.2071070WSep 4 · 18:35K. Bondarenko1.401771311123A. Lapa2.751511156102WSep 4 · 17:05K. Bondarenko1.2211116593K. Tymchenko4.0099111162LSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.6171131192A. Volgina2.20113117113LSep 4 · 14:05K. Bondarenko1.8311411422M. Gordeets1.83911711113
V. Shevchuk10
WSep 12 · 19:05A. Volgina1.8011881292V. Shevchuk1.918111110113LSep 12 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.73117811113V. Shevchuk2.0041111882LSep 12 · 16:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko6.0012148113V. Shevchuk1.1110121191WSep 12 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.8091181172V. Shevchuk1.9111611783WSep 12 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.75131511852V. Shevchuk1.251117511113WSep 10 · 19:35A. Volgina1.67115961V. Shevchuk2.1051111113WSep 10 · 18:05V. Shevchuk2.001011118123M. Gordeets1.73129911102WSep 10 · 16:05K. Bondarenko1.50124691V. Shevchuk2.50101111113WSep 10 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.75971161V. Shevchuk1.2511117113WSep 10 · 13:05Y. Severina4.008760V. Shevchuk1.221111113
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