TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13107089
Played Sep 10Finished
Anna Gorchakova
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911711117611––
Viktoria Shevchuk
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:05 and never touched — 77.8% is still 77.8%
Graded at full timeViktoria Shevchuk to win
77.8%
77.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnna Gorchakova above · Viktoria Shevchuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Viktoria Shevchuk at 77.8%
73 points played in total.
H2H Anna Gorchakova 8–22 Viktoria Shevchuk Anna Gorchakova has won 8 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:05What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Shevchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-22 in 30
Shevchuk
Correct
gap of 14 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gorchakova 1556 vs Shevchuk 1642
Shevchuk
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gorchakova 100% vs Shevchuk 60%
Gorchakova
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gorchakova 50% vs Shevchuk 70%
Shevchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gorchakova +5 · Shevchuk +2
Gorchakova
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Shevchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shevchuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGorchakova 3.75 / Shevchuk 1.25
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Shevchuk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup Women · #13107089
Gorchakova3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Shevchuk1.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGorchakova3wins
AwayShevchuk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderShevchuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGorchakova33.3%1 of 3
AwayShevchuk71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gorchakova3Shevchuk7n = 10Shevchuk took 7 of 10
S2Gorchakova3Shevchuk7n = 10Shevchuk took 7 of 10
S3Gorchakova1Shevchuk9n = 10Shevchuk took 9 of 10
S4Gorchakova2Shevchuk4n = 6Shevchuk took 4 of 6
S5Gorchakova3Shevchuk0n = 3Gorchakova took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricGorchakovaShevchukG − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.739.7−6.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGorchakovaShevchukBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 425 vs 159 / 27646.4%57.6%197 / 425 vs 159 / 276Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShevchukGorchakova 3.75/Shevchuk 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.8%
Shevchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Shevchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova—511119113V. Shevchuk—11791172
LSep 5 · 16:35A. Gorchakova—611651V. Shevchuk—11711113
LAug 30 · 13:35A. Gorchakova—7980V. Shevchuk—1111113
LAug 23 · 17:05A. Gorchakova—7950V. Shevchuk—1111113
LAug 22 · 13:05A. Gorchakova—1173111V. Shevchuk—81111133
LAug 20 · 18:05A. Gorchakova—11101391V. Shevchuk—71215113
WAug 14 · 12:35A. Gorchakova—911711113V. Shevchuk—11911592
LAug 7 · 15:35A. Gorchakova—5460V. Shevchuk—1111113
WJul 26 · 18:05A. Gorchakova—1115911113V. Shevchuk—71711572
LJul 25 · 18:04A. Gorchakova—6960V. Shevchuk—1111113
A. Gorchakova10
WSep 10 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.5012132113M. Gordeets1.2810111171WSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113WSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070WSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193LSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861LSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460LSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk1.2511711113A. Gorchakova3.75611651LSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641
V. Shevchuk10
WSep 10 · 13:05Y. Severina4.008760V. Shevchuk1.221111113WSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102LSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.50451131V. Shevchuk1.5011117113LSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123WSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113WSep 5 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko5.50291171V. Shevchuk1.1311117113WSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151WSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk1.2511711113A. Gorchakova3.75611651LSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113
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