TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13118478
Played Sep 12Finished
Margarita Gordeets
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114711811118118
Viktoria Shevchuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:33 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMargarita Gordeets to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMargarita Gordeets above · Viktoria Shevchuk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 90 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Margarita Gordeets at 54.1%
90 points played in total.
H2H Margarita Gordeets 26–18 Viktoria Shevchuk Viktoria Shevchuk has won 18 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:33What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Gordeets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-18 in 44
Gordeets
Correct
gap of 8 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gordeets 1661 vs Shevchuk 1668
Shevchuk
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gordeets 60% vs Shevchuk 80%
Shevchuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gordeets 50% vs Shevchuk 80%
Shevchuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gordeets -1 · Shevchuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gordeets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shevchuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGordeets 1.73 / Shevchuk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gordeets)+0.4pp
Setka Cup Women · #13118478
Gordeets1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Shevchuk2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGordeets6wins
AwayShevchuk4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderGordeets leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGordeets71.4%5 of 7
AwayShevchuk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gordeets7Shevchuk3n = 10Gordeets took 7 of 10
S2Gordeets6Shevchuk4n = 10Gordeets took 6 of 10
S3Gordeets6Shevchuk4n = 10Gordeets took 6 of 10
S4Gordeets5Shevchuk4n = 9Gordeets took 5 of 9
S5Gordeets2Shevchuk4n = 6Shevchuk took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGordeetsShevchukG − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.242.0+1.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGordeetsShevchukBasisWin rate · lifetime362 / 621 vs 165 / 28358.3%58.3%362 / 621 vs 165 / 283Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GordeetsGordeets 1.73/Shevchuk 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Gordeets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gordeets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 18:05M. Gordeets51129911102V. Shevchuk521011118123
LSep 6 · 19:35M. Gordeets46811125102V. Shevchuk501161011123
WSep 5 · 13:05M. Gordeets4518115113V. Shevchuk401681151
WAug 23 · 13:35M. Gordeets3511112113V. Shevchuk32791151
WAug 22 · 18:05M. Gordeets331111113V. Shevchuk236890
WAug 20 · 19:35M. Gordeets46941111113V. Shevchuk4611117892
WAug 15 · 18:05M. Gordeets4513911123V. Shevchuk3811116101
LAug 14 · 14:35M. Gordeets4041111592V. Shevchuk42115411113
LAug 2 · 19:35M. Gordeets4012611562V. Shevchuk521011911113
WAug 1 · 19:35M. Gordeets51111189123V. Shevchuk45941111102
M. Gordeets10
LSep 12 · 16:05A. Volgina1.8311811113M. Gordeets1.83811741WSep 12 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.759700M. Gordeets1.25111113WSep 12 · 13:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.0051190M. Gordeets1.221113113WSep 10 · 19:05K. Bondarenko1.6787111262M. Gordeets2.101111510113LSep 10 · 18:05V. Shevchuk2.001011118123M. Gordeets1.73129911102WSep 10 · 16:35Y. Severina4.50113581M. Gordeets1.1781111113LSep 10 · 14:35A. Volgina1.801311113M. Gordeets1.9111690LSep 10 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.5012132113M. Gordeets1.2810111171LSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102WSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100
V. Shevchuk10
LSep 12 · 16:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko6.0012148113V. Shevchuk1.1110121191WSep 12 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.8091181172V. Shevchuk1.9111611783WSep 12 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.75131511852V. Shevchuk1.251117511113WSep 10 · 19:35A. Volgina1.67115961V. Shevchuk2.1051111113WSep 10 · 18:05V. Shevchuk2.001011118123M. Gordeets1.73129911102WSep 10 · 16:05K. Bondarenko1.50124691V. Shevchuk2.50101111113WSep 10 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.75971161V. Shevchuk1.2511117113WSep 10 · 13:05Y. Severina4.008760V. Shevchuk1.221111113WSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102LSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172
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