TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13116587
Played Sep 12Finished
Anna Gorchakova
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
91171101––––
Margarita Gordeets
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:03 and never touched — 77.2% is still 77.2%
Graded at full timeMargarita Gordeets to win
77.2%
77.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnna Gorchakova above · Margarita Gordeets below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 0-1
Point 39 set 3, 0-1 — our read held Margarita Gordeets at 77.2%
39 points played in total.
H2H Anna Gorchakova 11–56 Margarita Gordeets Anna Gorchakova has won 11 of their 67 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Gordeets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-56 in 67
Gordeets
Correct
gap of 45 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gorchakova 1569 vs Gordeets 1664
Gordeets
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gorchakova 40% vs Gordeets 60%
Gordeets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gorchakova 70% vs Gordeets 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gorchakova -1 · Gordeets +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Gordeets) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gordeets form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGorchakova 3.75 / Gordeets 1.25
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Gordeets)+6.3pp
Setka Cup Women · #13116587
Gorchakova3.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Gordeets1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGorchakova3wins
AwayGordeets7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGordeets leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGorchakova50%2 of 4
AwayGordeets83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gorchakova4Gordeets6n = 10Gordeets took 6 of 10
S2Gorchakova4Gordeets6n = 10Gordeets took 6 of 10
S3Gorchakova4Gordeets6n = 10Gordeets took 6 of 10
S4Gorchakova2Gordeets3n = 5Gordeets took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricGorchakovaGordeetsGorchakova − GordeetsBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.735.6−3.9per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGorchakovaGordeetsBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 430 vs 361 / 62046.3%58.2%199 / 430 vs 361 / 620Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GordeetsGorchakova 3.75/Gordeets 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.3%
Gordeets · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gordeets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3812132113M. Gordeets3910111171
LSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova4011511762M. Gordeets4061131193
LSep 5 · 18:05A. Gorchakova199460M. Gordeets331111113
LSep 4 · 18:05A. Gorchakova29108110M. Gordeets361211133
LAug 23 · 15:35A. Gorchakova3511118322M. Gordeets47951111113
LAug 22 · 16:35A. Gorchakova249870M. Gordeets331111113
WAug 20 · 14:35A. Gorchakova49141311113M. Gordeets401611851
LAug 14 · 15:35A. Gorchakova205870M. Gordeets331111113
LJul 25 · 15:05A. Gorchakova28871121M. Gordeets3411111113
WJul 24 · 15:35A. Gorchakova351311113M. Gordeets2111460
A. Gorchakova10
WSep 12 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75113119123O. Ivchenko1.40811511102LSep 12 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.75131511852V. Shevchuk1.251117511113WSep 10 · 18:35A. Gorchakova1.3311911113Y. Severina3.25511831LSep 10 · 17:05A. Gorchakova2.6311114572K. Bondarenko1.44971111113WSep 10 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75169411133A. Volgina1.401411115112LSep 10 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.75971161V. Shevchuk1.2511117113WSep 10 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.5012132113M. Gordeets1.2810111171WSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113WSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070
M. Gordeets10
LSep 12 · 16:05A. Volgina1.8311811113M. Gordeets1.83811741WSep 12 · 13:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.0051190M. Gordeets1.221113113WSep 10 · 19:05K. Bondarenko1.6787111262M. Gordeets2.101111510113LSep 10 · 18:05V. Shevchuk2.001011118123M. Gordeets1.73129911102WSep 10 · 16:35Y. Severina4.50113581M. Gordeets1.1781111113LSep 10 · 14:35A. Volgina1.801311113M. Gordeets1.9111690LSep 10 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.5012132113M. Gordeets1.2810111171LSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102WSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100WSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113
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