TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13107207
Played Sep 10Finished
Anastasiia Volgina
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311116119––––
Margarita Gordeets
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnastasiia Volgina to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnastasiia Volgina above · Margarita Gordeets below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 61 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Anastasiia Volgina at 54.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Anastasiia Volgina 82–76 Margarita Gordeets Margarita Gordeets has won 76 of their 158 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:05What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Volgina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
82-76 in 158
Volgina
Correct
gap of 6 in 158, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volgina 1615 vs Gordeets 1661
Gordeets
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volgina 60% vs Gordeets 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volgina 50% vs Gordeets 70%
Gordeets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volgina -1 · Gordeets -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gordeets) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolgina 1.80 / Gordeets 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gordeets)+5.5pp
Setka Cup Women · #13107207
Volgina1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Gordeets1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolgina4wins
AwayGordeets6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGordeets leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolgina80%4 of 5
AwayGordeets100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volgina5Gordeets5n = 10split evenly
S2Volgina5Gordeets5n = 10split evenly
S3Volgina4Gordeets6n = 10Gordeets took 6 of 10
S4Volgina2Gordeets2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolginaGordeetsV − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.536.6−3.1per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolginaGordeetsBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 639 vs 361 / 62156.5%58.1%361 / 639 vs 361 / 621Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GordeetsVolgina 1.80/Gordeets 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Gordeets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Volgina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina—7960M. Gordeets—1111113
LSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina—61080M. Gordeets—1112113
WAug 29 · 14:35A. Volgina—121163M. Gordeets—10740
LAug 23 · 14:35A. Volgina—816120M. Gordeets—1118143
WAug 22 · 14:35A. Volgina—11115113M. Gordeets—991161
WAug 15 · 14:35A. Volgina—11115133M. Gordeets—9811111
LAug 14 · 19:35A. Volgina—10490M. Gordeets—1211113
LAug 1 · 18:05A. Volgina—61511572M. Gordeets—1113811113
LJul 31 · 16:05A. Volgina—11711892M. Gordeets—911611113
WJul 25 · 16:05A. Volgina—1111113M. Gordeets—8890
A. Volgina10
LSep 10 · 13:35K. Bondarenko1.611112113A. Volgina2.2071070WSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861WSep 5 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.7512971A. Volgina1.251411112LSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113LSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113WSep 4 · 17:35A. Lapa2.201071151A. Volgina1.6112116113WSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.6171131192A. Volgina2.20113117113LSep 4 · 14:35A. Volgina1.36111189102A. Gorchakova3.00961111123
M. Gordeets10
LSep 10 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.5012132113M. Gordeets1.2810111171LSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102WSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100WSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113WSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193WSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113WSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460WSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113LSep 5 · 14:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.00971111113M. Gordeets1.2211119892WSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113
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