TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13107088
Played Sep 10Finished
Yevheniia Severina
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118311511811––
Margarita Gordeets
Away
1.17
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:03 and never touched — 82.9% is still 82.9%
Graded at full timeMargarita Gordeets to win
82.9%
82.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevheniia Severina above · Margarita Gordeets below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 68 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Margarita Gordeets at 82.9%
68 points played in total.
H2H Yevheniia Severina 5–24 Margarita Gordeets Yevheniia Severina has won 5 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:03What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Gordeets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-24 in 29
Gordeets
Correct
gap of 19 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Severina 1346 vs Gordeets 1644
Gordeets
Correct
both rated, 298 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Severina 0% vs Gordeets 40%
Gordeets
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Severina 0% vs Gordeets 60%
Gordeets
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Severina -5 · Gordeets -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Gordeets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gordeets form (40%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeverina 4.50 / Gordeets 1.17
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Gordeets)+3.5pp
Setka Cup Women · #13107088
Severina4.50
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
Gordeets1.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSeverina3wins
AwayGordeets7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderGordeets leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeverina66.7%2 of 3
AwayGordeets83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Severina3Gordeets6n = 9Gordeets took 6 of 9
S2Severina4Gordeets5n = 9Gordeets took 5 of 9
S3Severina1Gordeets6n = 9Gordeets took 6 of 9
S4Severina2Gordeets3n = 5Gordeets took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSeverinaGordeetsS − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match34.736.7−2.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeverinaGordeetsBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 65 vs 361 / 62230.8%58%20 / 65 vs 361 / 622Avg sets wonper match1.52.2per matchAvg pointsper match34.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GordeetsSeverina 4.50/Gordeets 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.9%
Gordeets · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gordeets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LMay 16 · 14:05Y. Severina—59100M. Gordeets—1111102
LJan 9 · 14:05Y. Severina—11970M. Gordeets—1311113
LSep 27 · 13:05Y. Severina—12880M. Gordeets—1411113
LSep 26 · 19:05Y. Severina—3111291M. Gordeets—11714113
LSep 12 · 17:05Y. Severina—11811101M. Gordeets—91113113
WAug 9 · 13:35Y. Severina—6111111103M. Gordeets—11413552
LAug 8 · 19:05Y. Severina—4711111M. Gordeets—11117133
WAug 2 · 16:35Y. Severina—111192M. Gordeets—8890
WJul 19 · 16:05Y. Severina—111112113M. Gordeets—781461
Y. Severina10
LSep 10 · 17:35Y. Severina2.751169111A. Volgina1.4091111133LSep 10 · 15:05Y. Severina2.754711101K. Bondarenko1.4011119123LSep 10 · 13:05Y. Severina4.008760V. Shevchuk1.221111113LJul 3 · 19:35Y. Severina3.0071250V. Shevchuk1.361114113LJul 3 · 17:35A. Lapa1.53116311113Y. Severina2.3861111582LJul 3 · 15:35O. Bondareva2.5011126153Y. Severina1.5061011131LJul 3 · 14:35Y. Severina1.737490K. Tymchenko2.001111113LJul 3 · 13:35A. Volgina1.401112113Y. Severina2.7581060LMay 16 · 18:35Y. Severina2.25511571A. Lapa1.5711711113LMay 16 · 17:05Y. Severina2.20612571A. Gorchakova1.61111011113
M. Gordeets10
LSep 10 · 14:35A. Volgina1.801311113M. Gordeets1.9111690LSep 10 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.5012132113M. Gordeets1.2810111171LSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102WSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100WSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113WSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193WSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113WSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460WSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113LSep 5 · 14:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.00971111113M. Gordeets1.2211119892
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