TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13107093
Played Sep 10Finished
Yevheniia Severina
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1196119111113––
Anastasiia Volgina
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:03 and never touched — 69.0% is still 69.0%
Graded at full timeAnastasiia Volgina to win
69.0%
69.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevheniia Severina above · Anastasiia Volgina below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 81 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Anastasiia Volgina at 69.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Yevheniia Severina 15–20 Anastasiia Volgina Yevheniia Severina has won 15 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:03What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Volgina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-20 in 35
Volgina
Correct
gap of 5 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Severina 1342 vs Volgina 1618
Volgina
Correct
both rated, 276 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Severina 0% vs Volgina 60%
Volgina
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Severina 0% vs Volgina 50%
Volgina
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Severina -5 · Volgina -1
Severina
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Volgina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volgina form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeverina 2.75 / Volgina 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Volgina)+2.7pp
Setka Cup Women · #13107093
Severina2.75
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Volgina1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSeverina4wins
AwayVolgina6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVolgina leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeverinan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVolgina62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Severina2Volgina8n = 10Volgina took 8 of 10
S2Severina4Volgina6n = 10Volgina took 6 of 10
S3Severina3Volgina6n = 10Volgina took 6 of 10
S4Severina5Volgina2n = 7Severina took 5 of 7
S5Severina2Volgina1n = 3Severina took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSeverinaVolginaS − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.038.7−0.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeverinaVolginaBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 66 vs 362 / 64130.3%56.5%20 / 66 vs 362 / 641Avg sets wonper match1.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolginaSeverina 2.75/Volgina 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69%
Volgina · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Volgina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 3 · 13:35Y. Severina—81060A. Volgina—1112113
WJan 9 · 16:05Y. Severina—851112103A. Volgina—111171092
LSep 27 · 17:35Y. Severina—712100A. Volgina—1114102
WSep 26 · 16:05Y. Severina—10111511113A. Volgina—12517372
WSep 25 · 13:35Y. Severina—11117123A. Volgina—7611101
LSep 6 · 14:35Y. Severina—8910A. Volgina—1111113
WSep 5 · 16:05Y. Severina—81111103A. Volgina—113941
LAug 9 · 19:05Y. Severina—9141171A. Volgina—11168113
LAug 8 · 16:03Y. Severina—91171252A. Volgina—1141110113
LAug 2 · 13:05Y. Severina—1191181A. Volgina—41113113
Y. Severina10
LSep 10 · 16:35Y. Severina4.50113581M. Gordeets1.1781111113LSep 10 · 15:05Y. Severina2.754711101K. Bondarenko1.4011119123LSep 10 · 13:05Y. Severina4.008760V. Shevchuk1.221111113LJul 3 · 19:35Y. Severina3.0071250V. Shevchuk1.361114113LJul 3 · 17:35A. Lapa1.53116311113Y. Severina2.3861111582LJul 3 · 15:35O. Bondareva2.5011126153Y. Severina1.5061011131LJul 3 · 14:35Y. Severina1.737490K. Tymchenko2.001111113LJul 3 · 13:35A. Volgina1.401112113Y. Severina2.7581060LMay 16 · 18:35Y. Severina2.25511571A. Lapa1.5711711113LMay 16 · 17:05Y. Severina2.20612571A. Gorchakova1.61111011113
A. Volgina10
LSep 10 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75169411133A. Volgina1.401411115112WSep 10 · 14:35A. Volgina1.801311113M. Gordeets1.9111690LSep 10 · 13:35K. Bondarenko1.611112113A. Volgina2.2071070WSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861WSep 5 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.7512971A. Volgina1.251411112LSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113LSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113WJul 3 · 13:35A. Volgina1.401112113Y. Severina2.7581060
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