TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13107072
Played Sep 10Finished
Anna Gorchakova
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
16149114111151311
Anastasiia Volgina
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:04 and never touched — 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timeAnastasiia Volgina to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnna Gorchakova above · Anastasiia Volgina below
Set 1 · 16-14
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 105 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Anastasiia Volgina at 70.3%
105 points played in total.
H2H Anna Gorchakova 22–42 Anastasiia Volgina Anna Gorchakova has won 22 of their 64 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:04What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Volgina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-42 in 64
Volgina
Wrong
gap of 20 in 64, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gorchakova 1547 vs Volgina 1631
Volgina
Wrong
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gorchakova 80% vs Volgina 60%
Gorchakova
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gorchakova 50% vs Volgina 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gorchakova -1 · Volgina +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Volgina) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volgina form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGorchakova 2.75 / Volgina 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Volgina)+2.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #13107072
Gorchakova2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Volgina1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGorchakova2wins
AwayVolgina8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVolgina leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGorchakova25%1 of 4
AwayVolgina83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gorchakova4Volgina6n = 10Volgina took 6 of 10
S2Gorchakova2Volgina8n = 10Volgina took 8 of 10
S3Gorchakova2Volgina8n = 10Volgina took 8 of 10
S4Gorchakova2Volgina4n = 6Volgina took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricGorchakovaVolginaG − VBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.740.0−7.3per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGorchakovaVolginaBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 426 vs 362 / 64046.2%56.6%197 / 426 vs 362 / 640Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolginaGorchakova 2.75/Volgina 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.3%
Volgina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gorchakova won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 19:05A. Gorchakova—1110861A. Volgina—91211113
WSep 4 · 14:35A. Gorchakova—961111123A. Volgina—111189102
LAug 30 · 16:05A. Gorchakova—11113562A. Volgina—891111113
LAug 23 · 12:35A. Gorchakova—7711101A. Volgina—11117123
LAug 22 · 17:35A. Gorchakova—91130A. Volgina—1113113
WAug 16 · 18:05A. Gorchakova—11119113A. Volgina—991181
LAug 14 · 14:05A. Gorchakova—6790A. Volgina—1111113
LAug 7 · 14:05A. Gorchakova—148571A. Volgina—121111113
LJul 26 · 14:35A. Gorchakova—71080A. Volgina—1112113
LJul 25 · 13:05A. Gorchakova—9890A. Volgina—1111113
A. Gorchakova10
LSep 10 · 17:05A. Gorchakova2.6311114572K. Bondarenko1.44971111113LSep 10 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.75971161V. Shevchuk1.2511117113WSep 10 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.5012132113M. Gordeets1.2810111171WSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113WSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070WSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193LSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861LSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460
A. Volgina10
WSep 10 · 17:35Y. Severina2.751169111A. Volgina1.4091111133WSep 10 · 14:35A. Volgina1.801311113M. Gordeets1.9111690LSep 10 · 13:35K. Bondarenko1.611112113A. Volgina2.2071070WSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861WSep 5 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.7512971A. Volgina1.251411112LSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113WSep 5 · 15:05V. Shevchuk1.91101191152A. Volgina1.80126116113LSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina2.10118111192O. Ivchenko1.67131189113LSep 4 · 19:35A. Volgina1.8061080M. Gordeets1.911112113WSep 4 · 17:35A. Lapa2.201071151A. Volgina1.6112116113
Upcoming Matches
A. Gorchakova
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A. Volgina
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