TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13107081
Played Sep 10Finished
Anna Gorchakova
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119117411511711
Kateryna Bondarenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:03 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeKateryna Bondarenko to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnna Gorchakova above · Kateryna Bondarenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 87 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Kateryna Bondarenko at 65.7%
87 points played in total.
H2H Anna Gorchakova 4–8 Kateryna Bondarenko Anna Gorchakova has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:03What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Bondarenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Bondarenko
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gorchakova 1560 vs Bondarenko 1650
Bondarenko
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gorchakova 80% vs Bondarenko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gorchakova 60% vs Bondarenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gorchakova +1 · Bondarenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Bondarenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bondarenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGorchakova 2.63 / Bondarenko 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Bondarenko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup Women · #13107081
Gorchakova2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Bondarenko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGorchakova3wins
AwayBondarenko7wins
7 of 10 to a deciderBondarenko leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGorchakova50%2 of 4
AwayBondarenko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gorchakova4Bondarenko6n = 10Bondarenko took 6 of 10
S2Gorchakova5Bondarenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Gorchakova0Bondarenko10n = 10Bondarenko took 10 of 10
S4Gorchakova6Bondarenko2n = 8Gorchakova took 6 of 8
S5Gorchakova3Bondarenko4n = 7Bondarenko took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGorchakovaBondarenkoG − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.745.8−6.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGorchakovaBondarenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime198 / 427 vs 86 / 12546.4%68.8%198 / 427 vs 86 / 125Avg sets wonper match1.82.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.441.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarenkoGorchakova 2.63/Bondarenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Bondarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bondarenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 12:35A. Gorchakova—911711113K. Bondarenko—11911972
WAug 16 · 16:35A. Gorchakova—121146123K. Bondarenko—1081111102
WAug 7 · 18:35A. Gorchakova—119313113K. Bondarenko—711111182
LJul 26 · 19:05A. Gorchakova—116101462K. Bondarenko—6111212113
LJul 18 · 14:05A. Gorchakova—1414731K. Bondarenko—16121163
LJul 17 · 12:35A. Gorchakova—91130K. Bondarenko—1113113
LJul 5 · 18:35A. Gorchakova—311311122K. Bondarenko—117119143
LJun 12 · 17:05A. Gorchakova—11881162K. Bondarenko—611116113
LJun 5 · 12:35A. Gorchakova—8870K. Bondarenko—1111113
LMay 17 · 12:35A. Gorchakova—71241172K. Bondarenko—1110118113
A. Gorchakova10
WSep 10 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75169411133A. Volgina1.401411115112LSep 10 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.75971161V. Shevchuk1.2511117113WSep 10 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.5012132113M. Gordeets1.2810111171WSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113WSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070WSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193LSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861LSep 5 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.281111113A. Gorchakova3.509460
K. Bondarenko10
LSep 10 · 16:05K. Bondarenko1.50124691V. Shevchuk2.50101111113WSep 10 · 15:05Y. Severina2.754711101K. Bondarenko1.4011119123WSep 10 · 13:35K. Bondarenko1.611112113A. Volgina2.2071070WSep 4 · 18:35K. Bondarenko1.401771311123A. Lapa2.751511156102WSep 4 · 17:05K. Bondarenko1.2211116593K. Tymchenko4.0099111162LSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.6171131192A. Volgina2.20113117113LSep 4 · 14:05K. Bondarenko1.8311411422M. Gordeets1.83911711113LSep 4 · 12:35K. Bondarenko1.4011911972A. Gorchakova2.75911711113WAug 29 · 18:35O. Bondareva3.251166101K. Bondarenko1.3391111102LAug 29 · 17:35K. Bondarenko1.44711581A. Volgina2.6311611113
Upcoming Matches
A. Gorchakova
K. Bondarenko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.