TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13107070
Played Sep 10Finished
Kateryna Bondarenko
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210411611911––
Viktoria Shevchuk
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:03 and never touched — 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeKateryna Bondarenko to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKateryna Bondarenko above · Viktoria Shevchuk below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Kateryna Bondarenko at 61.5%
74 points played in total.
H2H Kateryna Bondarenko 11–5 Viktoria Shevchuk Viktoria Shevchuk has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:03What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Bondarenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-5 in 16
Bondarenko
Wrong
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bondarenko 1664 vs Shevchuk 1652
Bondarenko
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondarenko 80% vs Shevchuk 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondarenko 50% vs Shevchuk 80%
Shevchuk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondarenko +4 · Shevchuk +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Bondarenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shevchuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondarenko 1.50 / Shevchuk 2.50
Signal prob.62% / 39%
Edge (Bondarenko)-1.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup Women · #13107070
Bondarenko1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Shevchuk2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBondarenko6wins
AwayShevchuk4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBondarenko leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBondarenko75%3 of 4
AwayShevchuk50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bondarenko4Shevchuk6n = 10Shevchuk took 6 of 10
S2Bondarenko5Shevchuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Bondarenko5Shevchuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Bondarenko6Shevchuk3n = 9Bondarenko took 6 of 9
S5Bondarenko3Shevchuk2n = 5Bondarenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBondarenkoShevchukB − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.540.1+0.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarenkoShevchukBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 124 vs 160 / 27769.4%57.8%86 / 124 vs 160 / 277Avg sets wonper match2.52.2per matchAvg pointsper match41.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarenkoBondarenko 1.50/Shevchuk 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.5%
Bondarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Shevchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 7 · 17:35K. Bondarenko—11911113V. Shevchuk—611761
LAug 2 · 14:05K. Bondarenko—11115742V. Shevchuk—941111113
LAug 1 · 17:35K. Bondarenko—541181V. Shevchuk—11118113
WJul 26 · 16:05K. Bondarenko—711511113V. Shevchuk—11811982
LJul 17 · 18:35K. Bondarenko—8890V. Shevchuk—1111113
WJul 5 · 17:05K. Bondarenko—91111113V. Shevchuk—116971
WJun 12 · 12:35K. Bondarenko—1131111123V. Shevchuk—811134102
LJun 6 · 12:35K. Bondarenko—78111162V. Shevchuk—111176113
WJun 5 · 14:35K. Bondarenko—111110113V. Shevchuk—791271
WMay 24 · 19:35K. Bondarenko—811129113V. Shevchuk—115101172
K. Bondarenko10
WSep 10 · 17:05A. Gorchakova2.6311114572K. Bondarenko1.44971111113WSep 10 · 15:05Y. Severina2.754711101K. Bondarenko1.4011119123WSep 10 · 13:35K. Bondarenko1.611112113A. Volgina2.2071070WSep 4 · 18:35K. Bondarenko1.401771311123A. Lapa2.751511156102WSep 4 · 17:05K. Bondarenko1.2211116593K. Tymchenko4.0099111162LSep 4 · 15:35K. Bondarenko1.6171131192A. Volgina2.20113117113LSep 4 · 14:05K. Bondarenko1.8311411422M. Gordeets1.83911711113LSep 4 · 12:35K. Bondarenko1.4011911972A. Gorchakova2.75911711113WAug 29 · 18:35O. Bondareva3.251166101K. Bondarenko1.3391111102LAug 29 · 17:35K. Bondarenko1.44711581A. Volgina2.6311611113
V. Shevchuk10
WSep 10 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.75971161V. Shevchuk1.2511117113WSep 10 · 13:05Y. Severina4.008760V. Shevchuk1.221111113WSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102LSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.50451131V. Shevchuk1.5011117113LSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123WSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113WSep 5 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko5.50291171V. Shevchuk1.1311117113WSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151WSep 5 · 16:35V. Shevchuk1.2511711113A. Gorchakova3.75611651
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