TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13117355
Played Sep 12Finished
Anna Gorchakova
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13111517115811511
Viktoria Shevchuk
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:13 and never touched — 79.8% is still 79.8%
Graded at full timeViktoria Shevchuk to win
79.8%
79.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnna Gorchakova above · Viktoria Shevchuk below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 15-17
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 107 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Viktoria Shevchuk at 79.8%
107 points played in total.
H2H Anna Gorchakova 8–23 Viktoria Shevchuk Anna Gorchakova has won 8 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:13What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Shevchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-23 in 31
Shevchuk
Correct
gap of 15 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gorchakova 1558 vs Shevchuk 1685
Shevchuk
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gorchakova 60% vs Shevchuk 100%
Shevchuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gorchakova 70% vs Shevchuk 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gorchakova +1 · Shevchuk +5
Shevchuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Shevchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shevchuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGorchakova 3.75 / Shevchuk 1.25
Signal prob.20% / 80%
Edge (Shevchuk)+4.8pp
Setka Cup Women · #13117355
Gorchakova3.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Shevchuk1.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGorchakova3wins
AwayShevchuk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderShevchuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGorchakova33.3%1 of 3
AwayShevchuk71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gorchakova3Shevchuk7n = 10Shevchuk took 7 of 10
S2Gorchakova3Shevchuk7n = 10Shevchuk took 7 of 10
S3Gorchakova2Shevchuk8n = 10Shevchuk took 8 of 10
S4Gorchakova2Shevchuk5n = 7Shevchuk took 5 of 7
S5Gorchakova3Shevchuk0n = 3Gorchakova took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricGorchakovaShevchukG − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.940.4−5.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGorchakovaShevchukBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 429 vs 163 / 28046.4%58.2%199 / 429 vs 163 / 280Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShevchukGorchakova 3.75/Shevchuk 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.8%
Shevchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Shevchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 14:05A. Gorchakova33971161V. Shevchuk4011117113
WSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova47511119113V. Shevchuk4511791172
LSep 5 · 16:35A. Gorchakova28611651V. Shevchuk4011711113
LAug 30 · 13:35A. Gorchakova247980V. Shevchuk331111113
LAug 23 · 17:05A. Gorchakova217950V. Shevchuk331111113
LAug 22 · 13:05A. Gorchakova321173111V. Shevchuk4381111133
LAug 20 · 18:05A. Gorchakova4311101391V. Shevchuk4571215113
WAug 14 · 12:35A. Gorchakova49911711113V. Shevchuk4511911592
LAug 7 · 15:35A. Gorchakova155460V. Shevchuk331111113
WJul 26 · 18:05A. Gorchakova571115911113V. Shevchuk4771711572
A. Gorchakova10
WSep 10 · 18:35A. Gorchakova1.3311911113Y. Severina3.25511831LSep 10 · 17:05A. Gorchakova2.6311114572K. Bondarenko1.44971111113WSep 10 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75169411133A. Volgina1.401411115112LSep 10 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.75971161V. Shevchuk1.2511117113WSep 10 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.5012132113M. Gordeets1.2810111171WSep 6 · 18:35K. Tymchenko3.408760A. Gorchakova1.301111113WSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070WSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:05A. Gorchakova3.7511511762M. Gordeets1.2561131193
V. Shevchuk10
WSep 10 · 19:35A. Volgina1.67115961V. Shevchuk2.1051111113WSep 10 · 18:05V. Shevchuk2.001011118123M. Gordeets1.73129911102WSep 10 · 16:05K. Bondarenko1.50124691V. Shevchuk2.50101111113WSep 10 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.75971161V. Shevchuk1.2511117113WSep 10 · 13:05Y. Severina4.008760V. Shevchuk1.221111113WSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102LSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 15:35K. Tymchenko2.50451131V. Shevchuk1.5011117113LSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123WSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113
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