TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13117361
Played Sep 12Finished
Oleksandra Ivchenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
91111681111778
Viktoria Shevchuk
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeViktoria Shevchuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandra Ivchenko above · Viktoria Shevchuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 7-8
Point 89 set 5, 7-8 — our read held Viktoria Shevchuk at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandra Ivchenko 23–18 Viktoria Shevchuk Viktoria Shevchuk has won 18 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:22What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Ivchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-18 in 41
Ivchenko
Wrong
gap of 5 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivchenko 1534 vs Shevchuk 1673
Shevchuk
Correct
both rated, 139 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivchenko 40% vs Shevchuk 100%
Shevchuk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivchenko 40% vs Shevchuk 80%
Shevchuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivchenko +2 · Shevchuk +5
Shevchuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Shevchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shevchuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvchenko 1.80 / Shevchuk 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Shevchuk)+5.5pp
Setka Cup Women · #13117361
Ivchenko1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Shevchuk1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvchenko4wins
AwayShevchuk6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderShevchuk leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvchenko60%3 of 5
AwayShevchuk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivchenko5Shevchuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Ivchenko4Shevchuk6n = 10Shevchuk took 6 of 10
S3Ivchenko5Shevchuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Ivchenko5Shevchuk5n = 10split evenly
S5Ivchenko2Shevchuk3n = 5Shevchuk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvchenkoShevchukI − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.742.5−0.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvchenkoShevchukBasisWin rate · lifetime349 / 566 vs 164 / 28161.7%58.4%349 / 566 vs 164 / 281Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShevchukIvchenko 1.80/Shevchuk 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Shevchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Shevchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko36136891V. Shevchuk44111111113
LSep 5 · 17:35O. Ivchenko29491151V. Shevchuk4111118113
LAug 30 · 14:35O. Ivchenko35811881V. Shevchuk3811611103
WAug 23 · 16:05O. Ivchenko3851111113V. Shevchuk28116741
LAug 22 · 16:05O. Ivchenko491111111152V. Shevchuk48131383113
WAug 15 · 16:05O. Ivchenko53111611153V. Shevchuk4661413131
WAug 7 · 14:35O. Ivchenko48111149133V. Shevchuk47771111112
LAug 1 · 13:35O. Ivchenko42112111082V. Shevchuk47711612113
WJul 25 · 14:35O. Ivchenko42114511113V. Shevchuk3651111272
LJul 24 · 16:05O. Ivchenko4567121192V. Shevchuk501111107113
O. Ivchenko10
LSep 12 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75113119123O. Ivchenko1.40811511102WSep 12 · 13:35A. Volgina1.91143791O. Ivchenko1.80121111113WSep 6 · 19:05O. Ivchenko1.2231113113O. Bondareva4.001171191LSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113LSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113LSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113LSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151LSep 5 · 15:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811711113O. Ivchenko1.3311211752WSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641
V. Shevchuk10
WSep 12 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.75131511852V. Shevchuk1.251117511113WSep 10 · 19:35A. Volgina1.67115961V. Shevchuk2.1051111113WSep 10 · 18:05V. Shevchuk2.001011118123M. Gordeets1.73129911102WSep 10 · 16:05K. Bondarenko1.50124691V. Shevchuk2.50101111113WSep 10 · 14:05A. Gorchakova3.75971161V. Shevchuk1.2511117113WSep 10 · 13:05Y. Severina4.008760V. Shevchuk1.221111113WSep 6 · 19:35V. Shevchuk2.101161011123M. Gordeets1.67811125102LSep 6 · 17:35A. Gorchakova4.00511119113V. Shevchuk1.2211791172WSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113WSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151
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