TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13116854
Played Sep 12Finished
Anastasiia Volgina
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1412311711911––
Oleksandra Ivchenko
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandra Ivchenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnastasiia Volgina above · Oleksandra Ivchenko below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 78 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandra Ivchenko at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Anastasiia Volgina 71–81 Oleksandra Ivchenko Anastasiia Volgina has won 71 of their 152 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:07What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Ivchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
71-81 in 152
Ivchenko
Correct
gap of 10 in 152, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volgina 1611 vs Ivchenko 1505
Volgina
Wrong
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volgina 40% vs Ivchenko 20%
Volgina
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volgina 50% vs Ivchenko 30%
Volgina
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volgina -1 · Ivchenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ivchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivchenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolgina 1.91 / Ivchenko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Ivchenko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup Women · #13116854
Volgina1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Ivchenko1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolgina4wins
AwayIvchenko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderIvchenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolgina66.7%2 of 3
AwayIvchenko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volgina3Ivchenko7n = 10Ivchenko took 7 of 10
S2Volgina5Ivchenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Volgina5Ivchenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Volgina3Ivchenko4n = 7Ivchenko took 4 of 7
S5Volgina2Ivchenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolginaIvchenkoV − IBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.640.6−1.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolginaIvchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 643 vs 350 / 56756.5%61.7%363 / 643 vs 350 / 567Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvchenkoVolgina 1.91/Ivchenko 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ivchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ivchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 13:35A. Volgina50118111192O. Ivchenko52131189113
WAug 30 · 18:05A. Volgina4011126113O. Ivchenko348101151
WAug 29 · 19:35A. Volgina341112113O. Ivchenko2491050
WAug 23 · 18:05A. Volgina48711118113O. Ivchenko4811991182
LAug 22 · 13:35A. Volgina2779110O. Ivchenko351111133
LAug 16 · 19:35A. Volgina2367100O. Ivchenko341111123
WAug 15 · 13:35A. Volgina48810111183O. Ivchenko4111124862
LAug 7 · 18:05A. Volgina45111165122O. Ivchenko51961111143
LAug 1 · 19:05A. Volgina408119121O. Ivchenko4111511143
LJul 31 · 19:35A. Volgina4181011121O. Ivchenko4611129143
A. Volgina10
WSep 12 · 16:05A. Volgina1.8311811113M. Gordeets1.83811741WSep 12 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25119131082A. Volgina1.33811111293LSep 10 · 19:35A. Volgina1.67115961V. Shevchuk2.1051111113WSep 10 · 17:35Y. Severina2.751169111A. Volgina1.4091111133LSep 10 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75169411133A. Volgina1.401411115112WSep 10 · 14:35A. Volgina1.801311113M. Gordeets1.9111690LSep 10 · 13:35K. Bondarenko1.611112113A. Volgina2.2071070WSep 5 · 19:05A. Volgina1.3691211113A. Gorchakova3.001110861WSep 5 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.7512971A. Volgina1.251411112LSep 5 · 16:05A. Volgina1.737960M. Gordeets2.001111113
O. Ivchenko10
LSep 12 · 15:35A. Gorchakova2.75113119123O. Ivchenko1.40811511102LSep 12 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.8091181172V. Shevchuk1.9111611783WSep 6 · 19:05O. Ivchenko1.2231113113O. Bondareva4.001171191LSep 6 · 16:05O. Ivchenko1.91581181M. Gordeets1.8011116113LSep 6 · 15:05A. Gorchakova2.75111011113O. Ivchenko1.40712581LSep 6 · 13:35O. Ivchenko1.73136891V. Shevchuk2.00111111113LSep 5 · 19:35O. Ivchenko2.0079111242M. Gordeets1.731111510113LSep 5 · 17:35V. Shevchuk2.0011118113O. Ivchenko1.73491151LSep 5 · 15:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25811711113O. Ivchenko1.3311211752WSep 5 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.408111173A. Gorchakova2.75116641
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