TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13152590
Played Sep 19Finished
Miroslav Novotny
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012611311––––
Josef Pelikan
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 11Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 11
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:32 and never touched — 76.2% is still 76.2%
Graded at full timeJosef Pelikan to win
76.2%
76.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Novotny above · Josef Pelikan below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 53 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Josef Pelikan at 76.2%
53 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Novotny 2–8 Josef Pelikan Miroslav Novotny has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:32What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pelikan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-8 in 10
Pelikan
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Novotny 1246 vs Pelikan 1286
Pelikan
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novotny 40% vs Pelikan 100%
Pelikan
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novotny 30% vs Pelikan 100%
Pelikan
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Novotny +2 · Pelikan +11
Pelikan
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Pelikan) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pelikan form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovotny 2.50 / Pelikan 1.50
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Pelikan)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13152590
Novotny2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 11 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back12% 2 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Pelikan1.50
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 11
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite68% won 47 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it86% 30 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNovotny2wins
AwayPelikan8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPelikan leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNovotny50%2 of 4
AwayPelikan100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Novotny4Pelikan6n = 10Pelikan took 6 of 10
S2Novotny3Pelikan7n = 10Pelikan took 7 of 10
S3Novotny8Pelikan2n = 10Novotny took 8 of 10
S4Novotny1Pelikan6n = 7Pelikan took 6 of 7
S5Novotny0Pelikan3n = 3Pelikan took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNovotnyPelikanN − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.239.5−1.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovotnyPelikanBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 329 vs 146 / 29245.9%50%151 / 329 vs 146 / 292Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.735.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelikanNovotny 2.50/Pelikan 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Pelikan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pelikan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 17:00M. Novotny4212511952J. Pelikan481011511113
LSep 8 · 16:00M. Novotny4113101171J. Pelikan4315125113
LAug 12 · 17:30M. Novotny4111711121J. Pelikan3913111143
LAug 12 · 14:30M. Novotny1972100J. Pelikan341111123
WJul 3 · 15:00M. Novotny331111113J. Pelikan239950
WApr 22 · 21:00M. Novotny351111133J. Pelikan2036110
LApr 22 · 20:30M. Novotny371341191J. Pelikan3915112113
LApr 12 · 20:30M. Novotny428171161J. Pelikan5011199113
LJan 3 · 18:00M. Novotny48119111162J. Pelikan51131197113
LJan 3 · 16:30M. Novotny44111171142J. Pelikan48941113113
M. Novotny10
WSep 19 · 22:00M. Novotny1.5011136113J. Grohsgott2.505111161WSep 14 · 21:00P. Bruzek1.5728111172M. Novotny2.25111166113LSep 14 · 20:30M. Novotny2.20981141J. Framberk1.6111117113LSep 14 · 19:00M. Novotny1.61911121182M. Barta2.20116147113LSep 14 · 18:00P. Bruzek1.5781111113M. Novotny2.25115791LSep 12 · 20:58V. Sr2.001311113M. Novotny1.7311360LSep 12 · 20:00J. Strnad2.751111113M. Novotny1.409960LSep 12 · 19:00P. Berdych2.25111110153M. Novotny1.579812131LSep 12 · 18:30M. Novotny1.50114111072V. Sr2.50611812113WSep 10 · 20:59J. Strnad2.7527111142M. Novotny1.40111156113
J. Pelikan10
WSep 20 · 24:30J. Grohsgott1.836590J. Pelikan1.831111113WSep 19 · 22:30J. Pelikan1.911111113L. Havrda1.807980WSep 16 · 03:30J. Pelikan1.6811911113S. Mazanek2.05911861WSep 16 · 02:30S. Mazanek2.107680J. Pelikan1.671111113WSep 16 · 01:00D. Mutl2.105980J. Pelikan1.671111113WSep 15 · 23:30J. Pelikan1.22611711113M. Syroha4.0011311772WSep 15 · 22:00J. Pelikan1.401161011123L. Madle2.75911127102WSep 11 · 21:29J. Pelikan1.4413511113J. Hyrsl2.631111891WSep 11 · 20:00J. Pelikan1.80127114113V. Stach1.91101161112WSep 11 · 19:30J. Hyrsl2.105570J. Pelikan1.671111113
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