TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13128661
Played Sep 15Finished
Josef Pelikan
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11961110121171210
Ludek Madle
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:02 and never touched — 64.6% is still 64.6%
Graded at full timeJosef Pelikan to win
64.6%
64.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Pelikan above · Ludek Madle below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 99 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Josef Pelikan at 64.6%
99 points played in total.
H2H Josef Pelikan 3–1 Ludek Madle Ludek Madle has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:02What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Pelikan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Pelikan
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pelikan 1226 vs Madle 1141
Pelikan
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelikan 100% vs Madle 0%
Pelikan
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelikan 60% vs Madle 20%
Pelikan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelikan +5 · Madle -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Pelikan) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Madle form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelikan 1.40 / Madle 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Pelikan)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13128661
Pelikan1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 43 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Madle2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 39 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back8% 3 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePelikan3wins
AwayMadle1wins
Pelikan leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelikann = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMadle33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelikan1Madle3n = 4Madle took 3 of 4
S2Pelikan3Madle1n = 4Pelikan took 3 of 4
S3Pelikan3Madle1n = 4Pelikan took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricPelikanMadleP − MBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match34.230.0+4.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelikanMadleBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 303 vs 260 / 54548.2%47.7%146 / 303 vs 260 / 545Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelikanPelikan 1.40/Madle 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Pelikan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pelikan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WMay 13 · 23:00J. Pelikan4291111113L. Madle31119651
WApr 7 · 23:30J. Pelikan4071111113L. Madle31118571
LMar 31 · 23:00J. Pelikan228590L. Madle331111113
WMar 4 · 24:00J. Pelikan331111113L. Madle258980
J. Pelikan10
WSep 16 · 01:00D. Mutl2.105980J. Pelikan1.671111113WSep 15 · 23:30J. Pelikan1.22611711113M. Syroha4.0011311772WSep 11 · 21:29J. Pelikan1.4413511113J. Hyrsl2.631111891WSep 11 · 20:00J. Pelikan1.80127114113V. Stach1.91101161112WSep 11 · 19:30J. Hyrsl2.105570J. Pelikan1.671111113WSep 11 · 18:00J. Pelikan1.501111113J. Martinek2.508630WSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:00J. Grohsgott2.001111113J. Pelikan1.732880WSep 3 · 19:00M. Lubas2.101011111282J. Pelikan1.67124314113LSep 3 · 18:30J. Pelikan2.207101171V. Sr1.6111128113
L. Madle10
LSep 16 · 24:30L. Madle2.2581111392M. Syroha1.57117711113LSep 15 · 23:00L. Madle2.0011815892S. Mazanek1.736111311113LSep 14 · 13:00L. Novotny1.701111123L. Madle2.0046100LSep 14 · 12:30L. Madle1.73581151D. Mutl2.0011115113LSep 14 · 11:00L. Madle1.50981131J. Cernik2.5011118113LSep 14 · 10:00L. Novotny2.751111113L. Madle1.405890LSep 9 · 09:05L. Madle1.83911371L. Forman1.8311811113WSep 9 · 08:30M. Regner1.3368121182L. Madle3.251111109113LSep 9 · 07:30L. Madle1.618880J. Grohsgott2.201111113WSep 9 · 06:30L. Forman2.0088111172L. Madle1.73111197113
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