TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13128664
Played Sep 15Finished
Ludek Madle
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1168111513811911
Stanislav Mazanek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:03 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeLudek Madle to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLudek Madle above · Stanislav Mazanek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 103 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Ludek Madle at 57.7%
103 points played in total.
H2H Ludek Madle 12–13 Stanislav Mazanek Ludek Madle has won 12 of their 25 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:03What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mazanek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-13 in 25
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Madle 1132 vs Mazanek 1214
Mazanek
Correct
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Madle 0% vs Mazanek 0%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Madle 20% vs Mazanek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Madle -5 · Mazanek -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Mazanek) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mazanek form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMadle 2.00 / Mazanek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Mazanek)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13128664
Madle2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 39 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back8% 3 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Mazanek1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 48 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it73% 30 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMadle5wins
AwayMazanek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMadle62.5%5 of 8
AwayMazanekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Madle8Mazanek2n = 10Madle took 8 of 10
S2Madle4Mazanek6n = 10Mazanek took 6 of 10
S3Madle2Mazanek8n = 10Mazanek took 8 of 10
S4Madle3Mazanek4n = 7Mazanek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMadleMazanekMadle − MazanekBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.136.8−0.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMadleMazanekBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 542 vs 145 / 29447.6%49.3%258 / 542 vs 145 / 294Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MazanekMadle 2.00/Mazanek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Mazanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mazanek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 3 · 23:30L. Madle37119891S. Mazanek3741111113
LJul 10 · 24:30L. Madle314125101S. Mazanek44111011123
WJun 26 · 02:58L. Madle48116911113S. Mazanek4481111952
WJun 26 · 02:00L. Madle371213123S. Mazanek311011100
WJun 19 · 03:30L. Madle331111113S. Mazanek248970
WJun 19 · 24:30L. Madle52118913113S. Mazanek48711111182
LMay 14 · 02:00L. Madle28112871S. Mazanek4291111113
WApr 10 · 24:30L. Madle3711114113S. Mazanek28651161
LApr 8 · 02:30L. Madle248880S. Mazanek331111113
LApr 1 · 02:00L. Madle34117881S. Mazanek3741111113
L. Madle10
LSep 16 · 24:30L. Madle2.2581111392M. Syroha1.57117711113LSep 15 · 22:00J. Pelikan1.401161011123L. Madle2.75911127102LSep 14 · 13:00L. Novotny1.701111123L. Madle2.0046100LSep 14 · 12:30L. Madle1.73581151D. Mutl2.0011115113LSep 14 · 11:00L. Madle1.50981131J. Cernik2.5011118113LSep 14 · 10:00L. Novotny2.751111113L. Madle1.405890LSep 9 · 09:05L. Madle1.83911371L. Forman1.8311811113WSep 9 · 08:30M. Regner1.3368121182L. Madle3.251111109113LSep 9 · 07:30L. Madle1.618880J. Grohsgott2.201111113WSep 9 · 06:30L. Forman2.0088111172L. Madle1.73111197113
S. Mazanek10
WSep 16 · 24:00S. Mazanek1.301111113D. Mutl3.407650LSep 3 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.731161071M. Syroha2.0091112113LSep 3 · 01:00S. Mazanek1.7311631192J. Strnad2.00511115113LSep 3 · 24:00J. Framberk1.571111113S. Mazanek2.259560LSep 2 · 22:30P. Kulhanek1.3091111113S. Mazanek3.40116681LAug 27 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.7381171172M. Syroha2.00113118113LAug 27 · 01:00S. Mazanek2.639640D. Priesol1.441111113LAug 27 · 24:00V. Kosar1.501111113S. Mazanek2.502370WAug 26 · 22:30J. Pleskot1.737770S. Mazanek2.001111113WAug 19 · 03:00V. Sr1.57117531S. Mazanek2.2581111113
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