TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129388
Played Sep 14Finished
Ladislav Novotny
Home
1.70
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141161210––––
Ludek Madle
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingLadislav Novotny above · Ludek Madle below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 54 set 3, 12-10
54 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Novotny 1–1 Ludek Madle Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Novotny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Madle form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovotny 1.70 / Madle 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Madle)+0.1pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129388
Novotny1.70
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 44 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it93% 28 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it78% 36 of 46
Madle2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 40 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back11% 4 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeNovotny1wins
AwayMadle1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricNovotnyMadleN − MBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match33.028.5+4.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovotnyMadleBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 367 vs 260 / 54449.3%47.8%181 / 367 vs 260 / 544Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnyNovotny 1.70/Madle 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Novotny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 14 · 10:00L. Novotny331111113L. Madle225890
LJul 15 · 07:00L. Novotny33119851L. Madle3521111113
L. Novotny10
LSep 14 · 12:00L. Novotny1.8381131192J. Cernik1.83117112113LSep 14 · 11:30D. Mutl1.6111114113L. Novotny2.20561191WSep 14 · 10:00L. Novotny2.751111113L. Madle1.405890LSep 10 · 12:59J. Strnad2.201151015113L. Novotny1.61911121352LSep 10 · 12:30M. Smesny1.531111113L. Novotny2.388870LSep 10 · 11:30L. Novotny1.50711714102J. Strnad2.501151112123LSep 10 · 10:30J. Cernik2.1061111113L. Novotny1.67117961LSep 10 · 09:30L. Novotny2.637550J. Srba1.441111113WSep 10 · 08:30A. Hejduk1.83111171262L. Novotny1.83771114113LSep 10 · 07:30L. Novotny2.5012511572J. Srba1.501011511113
L. Madle10
LSep 14 · 12:30L. Madle1.73581151D. Mutl2.0011115113LSep 14 · 11:00L. Madle1.50981131J. Cernik2.5011118113LSep 14 · 10:00L. Novotny2.751111113L. Madle1.405890LSep 9 · 09:05L. Madle1.83911371L. Forman1.8311811113WSep 9 · 08:30M. Regner1.3368121182L. Madle3.251111109113LSep 9 · 07:30L. Madle1.618880J. Grohsgott2.201111113WSep 9 · 06:30L. Forman2.0088111172L. Madle1.73111197113LSep 8 · 12:59J. Svec1.573111411113L. Madle2.2511316892LSep 8 · 12:30L. Madle2.257890J. Svec1.571111113LSep 8 · 11:00L. Madle3.506119101P. Sudek1.2811511123
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