TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104693
Played Sep 10Finished
Ladislav Novotny
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71111571114121012
Jaroslav Strnad 1961
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Novotny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLadislav Novotny above · Jaroslav Strnad 1961 below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 100 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Ladislav Novotny at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Novotny 21–22 Jaroslav Strnad 1961 Ladislav Novotny has won 21 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:42What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Novotny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-22 in 43
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Novotny 1161 vs Strnad 1041
Novotny
Wrong
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novotny 40% vs Strnad 0%
Novotny
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novotny 30% vs Strnad 10%
Novotny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Novotny -1 · Strnad -5
Strnad
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Novotny) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strnad form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovotny 1.50 / Strnad 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Novotny)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104693
Novotny1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 47 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it81% 38 of 47
Strnad2.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog27% won 24 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNovotny6wins
AwayStrnad4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderNovotny leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNovotny71.4%5 of 7
AwayStrnad66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Novotny7Strnad3n = 10Novotny took 7 of 10
S2Novotny7Strnad3n = 10Novotny took 7 of 10
S3Novotny5Strnad5n = 10split evenly
S4Novotny4Strnad2n = 6Novotny took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNovotnyStrnadN − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.232.1+5.1per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovotnyStrnadBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 362 vs 147 / 35750%41.2%181 / 362 vs 147 / 357Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.035.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnyNovotny 1.50/Strnad 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 06:00L. Novotny—11117113J. Strnad—541151
WSep 1 · 07:00L. Novotny—1111113J. Strnad—6580
LAug 28 · 13:30L. Novotny—98111152J. Strnad—111166113
WAug 28 · 11:30L. Novotny—1611113J. Strnad—14660
LAug 27 · 07:00L. Novotny—11117662J. Strnad—371111113
WAug 25 · 13:00L. Novotny—11117113J. Strnad—861171
LAug 25 · 10:00L. Novotny—1110391J. Strnad—81211113
WJun 30 · 11:00L. Novotny—1211123J. Strnad—104100
WJun 27 · 06:00L. Novotny—91111113J. Strnad—119651
LJun 6 · 06:30L. Novotny—10970J. Strnad—1211113
L. Novotny10
LSep 10 · 10:30J. Cernik2.1061111113L. Novotny1.67117961LSep 10 · 09:30L. Novotny2.637550J. Srba1.441111113WSep 10 · 08:30A. Hejduk1.83111171262L. Novotny1.83771114113LSep 10 · 07:30L. Novotny2.5012511572J. Srba1.501011511113WSep 10 · 06:30J. Cernik1.9147110L. Novotny1.801111133LSep 8 · 09:00L. Novotny1.73111199102A. Hejduk2.00981111123LSep 8 · 08:00M. Vaclavik1.50118914113L. Novotny2.50911111272WSep 8 · 07:00A. Hejduk1.80121171062L. Novotny1.911091112113LSep 8 · 06:30L. Novotny2.2576111162M. Smesny1.57111175113LSep 6 · 09:00M. Smesny1.8091113113L. Novotny1.911181191
J. Strnad10
LSep 10 · 10:00J. Strnad3.006880M. Smesny1.361111113LSep 4 · 02:00J. Strnad3.00161013972J. Cernik1.3614121111113LSep 4 · 01:00J. Strnad1.8339130M. Vaclavik1.831111153LSep 4 · 24:00A. Hejduk1.331211113J. Strnad3.2510830LSep 3 · 22:30J. Grohsgott1.201111113J. Strnad4.334460WSep 3 · 08:58M. Smesny1.30116771J. Strnad3.4081111113LSep 3 · 08:30J. Strnad3.2552100M. Smesny1.331111123LSep 3 · 07:00J. Strnad2.75481161M. Vrabec1.4011116113LSep 3 · 06:00L. Novotny1.5711117113J. Strnad2.25541151LSep 1 · 09:03J. Cernik1.5381111113J. Strnad2.38113891
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.