TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13097870
Played Sep 8Finished
Ladislav Novotny
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191189119111012
Alexander Hejduk
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingLadislav Novotny above · Alexander Hejduk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 101 set 5, 10-12
101 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Novotny 4–3 Alexander Hejduk Alexander Hejduk has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Novotny beat Hejduk 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Novotny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hejduk form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovotny 1.73 / Hejduk 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Novotny)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13097870
Novotny1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 47 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it81% 38 of 47
Hejduk2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 56 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back29% 24 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back18% 9 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeNovotny4wins
AwayHejduk3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderNovotny leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNovotnyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHejduk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Novotny2Hejduk5n = 7Hejduk took 5 of 7
S2Novotny2Hejduk5n = 7Hejduk took 5 of 7
S3Novotny6Hejduk1n = 7Novotny took 6 of 7
S4Novotny5Hejduk0n = 5Novotny took 5 of 5
S5Novotny1Hejduk2n = 3Hejduk took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricNovotnyHejdukN − HBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match39.637.7+1.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovotnyHejdukBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 360 vs 193 / 42650%45.3%180 / 360 vs 193 / 426Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnyNovotny 1.73/Hejduk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hejduk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 8 · 07:00L. Novotny—1091112113A. Hejduk—121171062
LJan 5 · 07:00L. Novotny—36111192A. Hejduk—111138113
WDec 28 · 07:00L. Novotny—41111113A. Hejduk—114891
LDec 27 · 07:00L. Novotny—78111372A. Hejduk—1111511113
WDec 23 · 08:30L. Novotny—1111113A. Hejduk—8960
LDec 21 · 10:30L. Novotny—11390A. Hejduk—1311113
WDec 21 · 07:30L. Novotny—111111123A. Hejduk—6136101
L. Novotny10
LSep 8 · 08:00M. Vaclavik1.50118914113L. Novotny2.50911111272WSep 8 · 07:00A. Hejduk1.80121171062L. Novotny1.911091112113LSep 8 · 06:30L. Novotny2.2576111162M. Smesny1.57111175113LSep 6 · 09:00M. Smesny1.8091113113L. Novotny1.911181191LSep 6 · 08:00L. Novotny1.7331080J. Martinek2.001112113WSep 6 · 07:30M. Vrabec2.2015490L. Novotny1.611711113LSep 6 · 06:00L. Novotny2.00111111982M. Smesny1.73913911113LSep 3 · 09:29L. Novotny1.4012101371M. Vrabec2.75141211113WSep 3 · 08:00L. Novotny1.731111113M. Vrabec2.009560WSep 3 · 07:30M. Smesny1.5010560L. Novotny2.501211113
A. Hejduk10
LSep 8 · 08:30A. Hejduk1.57741171M. Smesny2.2511117113LSep 8 · 07:00A. Hejduk1.80121171062L. Novotny1.911091112113WSep 8 · 06:00M. Vaclavik1.407121091A. Hejduk2.75111012113LSep 7 · 08:58J. Srba1.8361111123A. Hejduk1.831167101LSep 7 · 08:30M. Vrabec1.61111111113A. Hejduk2.20841371LSep 7 · 07:30A. Hejduk2.20117881D. Mutl1.6191111113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Srba2.3811116113A. Hejduk1.53721171WSep 4 · 03:01A. Hejduk1.631112113J. Cernik2.1341030LSep 4 · 02:30A. Hejduk2.506790M. Vaclavik1.501111113LSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880
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