TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104096
Played Sep 10Finished
Ladislav Novotny
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210511115511711
Jan Srba
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:02 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeJan Srba to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
1210511115511711
H2H Ladislav Novotny 2–3 Jan Srba Ladislav Novotny has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:02What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Srba
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Novotny 1161 vs Srba 1265
Srba
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novotny 40% vs Srba 80%
Srba
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novotny 30% vs Srba 60%
Srba
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Novotny +1 · Srba +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Srba) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Srba form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovotny 2.50 / Srba 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Srba)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104096
Novotny2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 37 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back30% 12 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Srba1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeNovotny2wins
AwaySrba3wins
Srba leads 3–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNovotnyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySrba66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Novotny2Srba3n = 5Srba took 3 of 5
S2Novotny3Srba2n = 5Novotny took 3 of 5
S3Novotny2Srba3n = 5Srba took 3 of 5
S4Novotny1Srba2n = 3Srba took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricNovotnySrbaN − SBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match31.635.0−3.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovotnySrbaBasisWin rate · lifetime182 / 365 vs 37 / 6449.9%57.8%182 / 365 vs 37 / 64Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrbaNovotny 2.50/Srba 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Srba · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Srba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 10 · 09:30L. Novotny—7550J. Srba—1111113
LMar 2 · 12:00L. Novotny—215781J. Srba—191111113
LFeb 9 · 13:00L. Novotny—612761J. Srba—111011113
WOct 13 · 12:00L. Novotny—31111113J. Srba—116751
WJul 2 · 10:30L. Novotny—1111113J. Srba—4680
L. Novotny10
LSep 10 · 11:30L. Novotny1.50711714102J. Strnad2.501151112123LSep 10 · 10:30J. Cernik2.1061111113L. Novotny1.67117961LSep 10 · 09:30L. Novotny2.637550J. Srba1.441111113WSep 10 · 08:30A. Hejduk1.83111171262L. Novotny1.83771114113WSep 10 · 06:30J. Cernik1.9147110L. Novotny1.801111133LSep 8 · 09:00L. Novotny1.73111199102A. Hejduk2.00981111123LSep 8 · 08:00M. Vaclavik1.50118914113L. Novotny2.50911111272WSep 8 · 07:00A. Hejduk1.80121171062L. Novotny1.911091112113LSep 8 · 06:30L. Novotny2.2576111162M. Smesny1.57111175113LSep 6 · 09:00M. Smesny1.8091113113L. Novotny1.911181191
J. Srba10
WSep 10 · 09:30L. Novotny2.637550J. Srba1.441111113LSep 10 · 08:00J. Srba2.10111310182J. Cernik1.676111211113WSep 10 · 06:00J. Srba1.50911119113A. Hejduk2.5011551192WSep 7 · 08:58J. Srba1.8361111123A. Hejduk1.831167101LSep 7 · 08:00D. Mutl1.441211113J. Srba2.6310590WSep 7 · 07:00M. Vrabec3.75951141J. Srba1.2511117113WSep 7 · 06:30J. Srba2.3811116113A. Hejduk1.53721171WJun 8 · 08:58J. Vrba1.8349110J. Srba1.831111133LJun 8 · 08:30J. Srba1.73113671J. Vrba2.0061111113LJun 8 · 07:00J. Srba1.733750A. Hejduk2.001111113
Upcoming Matches
L. Novotny
J. Srba
Nothing scheduled
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