TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103307
Played Sep 10Finished
Jan Srba
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911115115911119
Alexander Hejduk
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:51 and never touched — 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeJan Srba to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Srba above · Alexander Hejduk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 92 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jan Srba at 61.5%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jan Srba 3–1 Alexander Hejduk Alexander Hejduk has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:51What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Srba
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Srba
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Srba 1261 vs Hejduk 1068
Srba
Correct
both rated, 193 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Srba 80% vs Hejduk 40%
Srba
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Srba 60% vs Hejduk 30%
Srba
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Srba +1 · Hejduk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Srba) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Srba form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSrba 1.50 / Hejduk 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Srba)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103307
Srba1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Hejduk2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 58 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back31% 25 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back21% 10 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSrba3wins
AwayHejduk1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSrba leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSrban = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHejduk33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Srba1Hejduk3n = 4Hejduk took 3 of 4
S2Srba3Hejduk1n = 4Srba took 3 of 4
S3Srba2Hejduk2n = 4split evenly
S4Srba2Hejduk1n = 3Srba took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricSrbaHejdukS − HBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match36.233.8+2.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrbaHejdukBasisWin rate · lifetime35 / 61 vs 194 / 42857.4%45.3%35 / 61 vs 194 / 428Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrbaSrba 1.50/Hejduk 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Srba · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Srba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 10 · 06:00J. Srba—911119113A. Hejduk—11551192
WSep 7 · 08:58J. Srba—61111123A. Hejduk—1167101
WSep 7 · 06:30J. Srba—11116113A. Hejduk—721171
LJun 8 · 07:00J. Srba—3750A. Hejduk—1111113
J. Srba10
WSep 7 · 08:58J. Srba1.8361111123A. Hejduk1.831167101LSep 7 · 08:00D. Mutl1.441211113J. Srba2.6310590WSep 7 · 07:00M. Vrabec3.75951141J. Srba1.2511117113WSep 7 · 06:30J. Srba2.3811116113A. Hejduk1.53721171WJun 8 · 08:58J. Vrba1.8349110J. Srba1.831111133LJun 8 · 08:30J. Srba1.73113671J. Vrba2.0061111113LJun 8 · 07:00J. Srba1.733750A. Hejduk2.001111113LJun 8 · 06:00L. Madle1.911114113J. Srba1.8091220WMay 25 · 09:30J. Srba1.401111113M. Vrabec2.753450WMay 25 · 08:00M. Smesny2.00711751J. Srba1.7311811113
A. Hejduk10
WSep 10 · 07:00A. Hejduk1.571112113J. Cernik2.2541060WSep 8 · 09:00L. Novotny1.73111199102A. Hejduk2.00981111123LSep 8 · 08:30A. Hejduk1.57741171M. Smesny2.2511117113LSep 8 · 07:00A. Hejduk1.80121171062L. Novotny1.911091112113WSep 8 · 06:00M. Vaclavik1.407121091A. Hejduk2.75111012113LSep 7 · 08:58J. Srba1.8361111123A. Hejduk1.831167101LSep 7 · 08:30M. Vrabec1.61111111113A. Hejduk2.20841371LSep 7 · 07:30A. Hejduk2.20117881D. Mutl1.6191111113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Srba2.3811116113A. Hejduk1.53721171WJun 8 · 07:00J. Srba1.733750A. Hejduk2.001111113
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