TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103173
Played Sep 9Finished
Ludek Madle
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911118311711––
Lubos Forman
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingLudek Madle above · Lubos Forman below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 71 set 4, 7-11
71 points played in total.
H2H Ludek Madle 3–2 Lubos Forman Lubos Forman has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Madle beat Forman 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Madle)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Forman form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMadle 1.83 / Forman 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Madle)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103173
Madle1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Forman1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMadle3wins
AwayForman2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderMadle leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMadlen = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayForman66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Madle2Forman3n = 5Forman took 3 of 5
S2Madle4Forman1n = 5Madle took 4 of 5
S3Madle3Forman2n = 5Madle took 3 of 5
S4Madle1Forman3n = 4Forman took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricMadleFormanM − FBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match39.035.6+3.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMadleFormanBasisWin rate · lifetime262 / 545 vs 191 / 38348.1%49.9%262 / 545 vs 191 / 383Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MadleMadle 1.83/Forman 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Madle · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Forman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 9 · 06:30L. Madle—111197113L. Forman—88111172
LAug 18 · 06:00L. Madle—981231L. Forman—111110113
WMay 19 · 07:30L. Madle—1111113L. Forman—9540
LMay 11 · 08:30L. Madle—10117131L. Forman—12611153
WMay 8 · 07:30L. Madle—71111113L. Forman—114671
L. Madle10
WSep 9 · 08:30M. Regner1.3368121182L. Madle3.251111109113LSep 9 · 07:30L. Madle1.618880J. Grohsgott2.201111113WSep 9 · 06:30L. Forman2.0088111172L. Madle1.73111197113LSep 8 · 12:59J. Svec1.573111411113L. Madle2.2511316892LSep 8 · 12:30L. Madle2.257890J. Svec1.571111113LSep 8 · 11:00L. Madle3.506119101P. Sudek1.2811511123LSep 8 · 10:00J. Grohsgott2.2571111113L. Madle1.57119991LAug 25 · 13:29L. Madle1.53812661M. Lubas2.38111011113WAug 25 · 12:00L. Madle1.57111214113M. Lubas2.257141271WAug 25 · 11:30J. Svec1.6110111171L. Madle2.2012813113
L. Forman10
LSep 9 · 08:00J. Grohsgott2.00941111113L. Forman1.7311117762LSep 9 · 07:00M. Regner1.5311511113L. Forman2.38611271LSep 9 · 06:30L. Forman2.0088111172L. Madle1.73111197113LSep 2 · 09:28L. Forman1.80812117102J. Svec1.911110711123WSep 2 · 08:30D. Mutl1.3055141142L. Forman3.401111129113LSep 2 · 07:30L. Forman1.91711118102J. Svec1.80116711123WSep 2 · 06:30J. Grohsgott2.104930L. Forman1.671111113WAug 25 · 08:59J. Grohsgott1.839760L. Forman1.831111113LAug 25 · 08:30L. Forman1.30113131292M. Vrabec3.404111510113LAug 25 · 07:00L. Forman1.3671314352V. Stach3.0011111211113
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