TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098137
Played Sep 9Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911411117117116
Lubos Forman
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeLubos Forman to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Lubos Forman below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 88 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Lubos Forman at 55.3%
88 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 11–14 Lubos Forman Jiri Grohsgott has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:12What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Forman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-14 in 25
Forman
Wrong
gap of 3 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1288 vs Forman 1152
Grohsgott
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 80% vs Forman 20%
Grohsgott
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 70% vs Forman 40%
Grohsgott
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott +1 · Forman -3
Forman
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Forman) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Forman form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 2.00 / Forman 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Forman)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098137
Grohsgott2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 141 of 373
Down 0–1, comes back22% 43 of 197
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 114
Forman1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 32 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it82% 27 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrohsgott4wins
AwayForman6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderForman leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgottn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayForman75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott2Forman8n = 10Forman took 8 of 10
S2Grohsgott2Forman8n = 10Forman took 8 of 10
S3Grohsgott6Forman4n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S4Grohsgott4Forman3n = 7Grohsgott took 4 of 7
S5Grohsgott2Forman1n = 3Grohsgott took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrohsgottFormanG − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.739.9−5.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottFormanBasisWin rate · lifetime754 / 1540 vs 191 / 38249%50%754 / 1540 vs 191 / 382Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FormanGrohsgott 2.00/Forman 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Forman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 06:30J. Grohsgott—4930L. Forman—1111113
LAug 25 · 08:59J. Grohsgott—9760L. Forman—1111113
LAug 25 · 06:00J. Grohsgott—97111152L. Forman—111177113
WMay 8 · 06:00J. Grohsgott—1111116143L. Forman—136611122
WApr 24 · 07:30J. Grohsgott—11117113L. Forman—951191
LMar 30 · 06:00J. Grohsgott—561151L. Forman—11116113
WFeb 7 · 11:00J. Grohsgott—1081313113L. Forman—1211111182
WFeb 4 · 10:30J. Grohsgott—11311113L. Forman—611991
LFeb 4 · 07:00J. Grohsgott—5380L. Forman—1111113
LFeb 2 · 07:00J. Grohsgott—81011101L. Forman—11129123
J. Grohsgott10
WSep 9 · 07:30L. Madle1.618880J. Grohsgott2.201111113LSep 9 · 06:00J. Grohsgott3.009760M. Regner1.361111113WSep 8 · 13:30J. Grohsgott1.571111113P. Sudek2.126720WSep 8 · 12:00J. Grohsgott1.7311611113P. Sudek2.00511451WSep 8 · 11:30J. Svec2.10781151J. Grohsgott1.6711119113WSep 8 · 10:00J. Grohsgott2.2571111113L. Madle1.57119991LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113
L. Forman10
LSep 9 · 07:00M. Regner1.5311511113L. Forman2.38611271LSep 9 · 06:30L. Forman2.0088111172L. Madle1.73111197113LSep 2 · 09:28L. Forman1.80812117102J. Svec1.911110711123WSep 2 · 08:30D. Mutl1.3055141142L. Forman3.401111129113LSep 2 · 07:30L. Forman1.91711118102J. Svec1.80116711123WSep 2 · 06:30J. Grohsgott2.104930L. Forman1.671111113WAug 25 · 08:59J. Grohsgott1.839760L. Forman1.831111113LAug 25 · 08:30L. Forman1.30113131292M. Vrabec3.404111510113LAug 25 · 07:00L. Forman1.3671314352V. Stach3.0011111211113WAug 25 · 06:00J. Grohsgott1.6197111152L. Forman2.20111177113
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