TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13097831
Played Sep 9Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711611––––
Milan Regner
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:48 and never touched — 70.0% is still 70.0%
Graded at full timeMilan Regner to win
70.0%
70.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Milan Regner below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 55 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Milan Regner at 70.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 2–15 Milan Regner Jiri Grohsgott has won 2 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:48What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Regner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-15 in 17
Regner
Correct
gap of 13 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1265 vs Regner 1238
Grohsgott
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 80% vs Regner 60%
Grohsgott
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 60% vs Regner 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott +4 · Regner +1
Grohsgott
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Regner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 3.00 / Regner 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Regner)+1.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13097831
Grohsgott3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 141 of 373
Down 0–1, comes back22% 43 of 197
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 114
Regner1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 80 of 152
Up 2–0, closes it85% 40 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it78% 58 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrohsgott1wins
AwayRegner9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRegner leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott0%0 of 4
AwayRegner83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott4Regner6n = 10Regner took 6 of 10
S2Grohsgott2Regner8n = 10Regner took 8 of 10
S3Grohsgott3Regner7n = 10Regner took 7 of 10
S4Grohsgott2Regner5n = 7Regner took 5 of 7
S5Grohsgott1Regner3n = 4Regner took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrohsgottRegnerG − RBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.342.4−9.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime754 / 1540 vs 243 / 52349%46.5%754 / 1540 vs 243 / 523Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerGrohsgott 3.00/Regner 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.1%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 06:00J. Grohsgott—9760M. Regner—1111113
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott—101511642M. Regner—1213811113
LSep 5 · 16:30J. Grohsgott—111071172M. Regner—812118113
LSep 2 · 12:30J. Grohsgott—1111451M. Regner—91311113
LAug 23 · 15:00J. Grohsgott—35110M. Regner—1111133
LAug 21 · 09:00J. Grohsgott—5740M. Regner—1111113
LAug 21 · 08:30J. Grohsgott—38111182M. Regner—111159113
WJul 22 · 07:00J. Grohsgott—811119113M. Regner—11871152
LJun 22 · 07:30J. Grohsgott—1144101M. Regner—81111123
LJun 15 · 12:59J. Grohsgott—1175101M. Regner—91111123
J. Grohsgott10
WSep 8 · 13:30J. Grohsgott1.571111113P. Sudek2.126720WSep 8 · 12:00J. Grohsgott1.7311611113P. Sudek2.00511451WSep 8 · 11:30J. Svec2.10781151J. Grohsgott1.6711119113WSep 8 · 10:00J. Grohsgott2.2571111113L. Madle1.57119991LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750
M. Regner10
WSep 7 · 13:00M. Vaclavik2.756950M. Regner1.401111113LSep 7 · 12:30M. Lubas1.731111113M. Regner2.004440WSep 7 · 11:30M. Regner1.611111113M. Vaclavik2.205540LSep 7 · 10:30D. Mutl3.251111113M. Regner1.338980WSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113WSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172LSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner2.00861151M. Syroha1.7311114113WSep 5 · 14:00V. Stach2.509790M. Regner1.501111113WSep 2 · 13:28D. Mutl2.1061180M. Regner1.671113113WSep 2 · 12:30M. Regner1.3091311113J. Grohsgott3.401111451
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