TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099083
Played Sep 8Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117112––––
Petr Sudek
Away
2.12
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:25 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeJiri Grohsgott to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Petr Sudek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 48 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 58.7%
48 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 5–1 Petr Sudek Petr Sudek has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Grohsgott beat Sudek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:25What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (57%)
Grohsgott
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Grohsgott
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1242 vs Sudek 1299
Sudek
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 60% vs Sudek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 50% vs Sudek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott +3 · Sudek -1
Grohsgott
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Grohsgott)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sudek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 1.57 / Sudek 2.12
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Grohsgott)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099083
Grohsgott1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 158 of 245
Up 2–0, closes it96% 91 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it83% 119 of 144
Sudek2.12
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog29% won 6 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back9% 1 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeGrohsgott5wins
AwaySudek1wins
1 of 6 to a deciderGrohsgott leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott80%4 of 5
AwaySudekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott5Sudek1n = 6Grohsgott took 5 of 6
S2Grohsgott4Sudek2n = 6Grohsgott took 4 of 6
S3Grohsgott6Sudek0n = 6Grohsgott took 6 of 6
S4Grohsgott2Sudek1n = 3Grohsgott took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home350%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricGrohsgottSudekG − SBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match40.232.7+7.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottSudekBasisWin rate · lifetime753 / 1539 vs 87 / 18248.9%47.8%753 / 1539 vs 87 / 182Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrohsgottGrohsgott 1.57/Sudek 2.12
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Grohsgott · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 8 · 12:00J. Grohsgott—11611113P. Sudek—511451
WAug 6 · 12:00J. Grohsgott—1111153P. Sudek—79130
WJun 11 · 12:00J. Grohsgott—1212113P. Sudek—101040
WJun 2 · 06:30J. Grohsgott—1111113P. Sudek—6680
WMay 15 · 10:00J. Grohsgott—131115113P. Sudek—1561371
LApr 23 · 11:30J. Grohsgott—127112152P. Sudek—1011811173
J. Grohsgott10
WSep 8 · 12:00J. Grohsgott1.7311611113P. Sudek2.00511451WSep 8 · 11:30J. Svec2.10781151J. Grohsgott1.6711119113WSep 8 · 10:00J. Grohsgott2.2571111113L. Madle1.57119991LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133
P. Sudek10
LSep 8 · 12:00J. Grohsgott1.7311611113P. Sudek2.00511451WSep 8 · 11:00L. Madle3.506119101P. Sudek1.2811511123WSep 8 · 10:30P. Sudek1.33117711113J. Svec3.2561111732LSep 4 · 09:00P. Sudek1.401191481M. Chalupnicek2.7581116113WSep 4 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.637101121P. Sudek1.4411125113LSep 4 · 07:00J. Svec3.50711119113P. Sudek1.2811881192LSep 4 · 06:30P. Sudek1.8011991192Z. Drabek1.91611117113WSep 1 · 09:28P. Sudek1.571111123M. Chalupnicek2.2545100LSep 1 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.251151011133P. Sudek1.57511126112WSep 1 · 07:00J. Svec3.5010111161P. Sudek1.2812913113
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